Brooklyn Nets at Toronto Raptors Free Prediction 02/11/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Brooklyn Nets (29-28), 10.5-point underdogs, will be at Scotiabank Arena to go head-to-head with the Toronto Raptors (41-16) in an Atlantic Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 226.5 points and it can be seen on YES Network at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, February 11, 2019.

Brooklyn Nets vs. Toronto Raptors ATS Odds

Neither team was able to cover in their last game. The Raptors (14-point favorites) beat the New York Knicks, 104-99, while the Nets (8-point favorites) fell to the Chicago Bulls, 125-106. The Toronto game went 12.5 points under the projected point total of 215.5, while the Brooklyn game finished 3.5 points over the projected point total of 227.5.

The Raptors made 24 of their 29 free throws (82.8 percent) and had a better turnover percentage (10.8 vs. 12.0). Brooklyn, on the other hand, forced Chicago into a turnover percentage of 14.3 (above the 11.2 mark opponents have averaged against Brooklyn this season). Serge Ibaka played a pivotal role for Toronto with 15 points and 13 rebounds. Meanwhile, Brooklyn was lifted by D’Angelo Russell, who had 23 points and six assists.

The Raptors evened the season series at one with a 122-105 win in their most recent contest. Russell was the top overall scorer in the game with 24 points. The Raptors’ 7.2 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Nets, who had a mark of 14.4. Toronto covered as a 10-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 227 points, which was just over the projected point total of 225.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Nets games, with 29 overs compared to 27 unders. Brooklyn heads into the contest with records of 29-28 straight up (SU) and 31-26 against the spread (ATS).

Similarly to Brooklyn, games involving the Raptors have a slight tendency to finish over the total (52.6 percent). Additionally, Toronto is 41-16 SU and 26-30-1 ATS.

Toronto could have their way on defense as they go head-to-head against one of the worst offenses in the NBA. The Raptors currently rank fourth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.509), while Brooklyn is 21st in effective field goal percentage (0.519).

Nets at Raptors Free Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Nets average 46.1 rebounds per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Raptors rank 14th in rebounds allowed per game (44.7).
  • Toronto ranks sixth in points off turnovers per game (18.2) while Brooklyn ranks 26th (15.0).
  • The Raptors rank 10th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.9) while the Nets rank 27th (51.8).
  • Toronto ranks 12th in blocks per game (5.3) while Brooklyn ranks 27th (4.1).
  • Brooklyn ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (29.0) while Toronto ranks seventh (29.6).
  • The Raptors rank fifth in fast break points per game (18.0) while the Nets rank 24th (10.5).
  • The Raptors average 13.5 second chance points per game, which ranks 11th in the league. The Nets rank 22nd in second chance points allowed per game (14.1).
  • Toronto ranks eighth in steals per game (8.4) while Brooklyn ranks 25th (6.7).
  • Toronto is 10-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Brooklyn is 7-1.
  • In games where they score more than 100 points, the Nets are 28-20 and the Raptors are 38-12.
  • Brooklyn is 16-11 ATS on the road, while Toronto is 13-14 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 14 of the Nets’ 27 road games, while 14 of the Raptors’ 27 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Raptors are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Nets are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Toronto has 5 unders, while Brooklyn has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 111.0 points per game (2.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.0 points per game (5.2 below their season average).
  • The Nets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 9.8, up from 0.6 for the season.