Brooklyn Nets at New Orleans Pelicans ATS Prediction 12/17/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The New Orleans Pelicans (6-21) welcome the Brooklyn Nets (14-12) to Smoothie King Center. The Pelicans are 1-point underdogs and will try to put an end to their 12-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 230.5 points and it will air on YES Network at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 17, 2019.

Brooklyn Nets at New Orleans Pelicans Betting Odds

In the Nets’ last outing, they won big over the Philadelphia 76ers, 109-89, despite being 4-point underdogs. The Pelicans, meanwhile, were topped by the Orlando Magic, 130-119, and failed to cover as 1-point underdogs. The Brooklyn game finished 22.5 points under the projected point total of 220.5, while the New Orleans game went 32.5 points over the projected point total of 216.5.

Brooklyn dominated every facet of the game. They had a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 27.9 (above their season average of 24.5) and a free throw rate of 0.149 (below their season average of 0.193). Philadelphia recorded marks of 15.2 and 0.116, respectively, for those same stats. New Orleans, on the other hand, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (26.2 vs. 21.6). Jrue Holiday led the way for New Orleans, contributing 29 points and eight assists. Brooklyn, meanwhile, rallied around DeAndre Jordan, who contributed 13 points and 11 rebounds.

In their first matchup this year, Kyrie Irving led the Nets to a 135-125 win. He recorded 39 points and nine assists. The two teams combined to score 260 points, which was well over the projected point total of 239.5, and Brooklyn covered as a 4-point favorite. Getting to the free throw line was one of Brooklyn’s biggest advantages. They had 28 free throw attempts, while New Orleans had 21.

It’s tough to find a trend for Nets games in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Brooklyn comes into the contest with records of 14-12 straight up (SU) and 14-11-1 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Brooklyn, Pelicans games have finished over the total 51.9 percent of the time. Moreover, New Orleans is 6-21 SU and 8-17-2 ATS.

Brooklyn figures to have an advantage on the offensive glass in this matchup. The Nets rank third in offensive rebounding percentage (24.7 percent), while New Orleans ranks 17th in defensive rebounding percentage (77.5 percent).

Brooklyn Nets vs. New Orleans Pelicans Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Pelicans rank 19th in blocks per game (4.8) while the Nets rank 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.6).
  • Brooklyn ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (51.9) while New Orleans ranks 26th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.9).
  • The Nets rank third in assists allowed per game (21.7) while the Pelicans rank 22nd (25.3).
  • Brooklyn ranks 11th in fast break points allowed per game (12.6) while New Orleans ranks 26th (15.4).
  • Brooklyn ranks 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.0) while New Orleans ranks 27th (19.6).
  • The Nets rank sixth in second chance points per game (14.4) while the Pelicans rank 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.7).
  • The Nets average 37.1 three pointers per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Pelicans rank 20th in three pointers allowed per game (34.6).
  • Brooklyn averages 48.0 rebounds per game, which ranks fifth in the league. New Orleans ranks 24th in rebounds allowed per game (46.4).
  • In games where they allow under 100 points, Brooklyn is 3-0.
  • The Pelicans are 6-18 when they score over 100 points, while the Nets are 14-10.
  • Brooklyn is 6-6-1 ATS on the road, while New Orleans is 5-9 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 8 of the Pelicans’ 14 home games, while 6 of the Nets’ 13 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Nets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Pelicans are 0-4-1.
  • In their last five games, Brooklyn has 4 unders and 1 over, while New Orleans has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 107.0 points per game (4.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.6 points per game (8.3 below their season average).
  • The Pelicans’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 16.2, up from 7.3 for the season.