The Brooklyn Nets (7-10) will travel to AmericanAirlines Arena to challenge the Miami Heat (6-10). The Heat opened as 3-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 215.5 points and it will air on YES Network at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 20, 2018.
Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat ATS Odds
Both teams failed to cover as underdogs in their last outing. The Heat (1.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Los Angeles Lakers, 113-97, while the Nets (4-point underdogs) fell to the Los Angeles Clippers, 127-119. The Miami game finished 14.5 points under the projected point total of 224.5, while the Brooklyn game finished 24.5 points over the projected point total of 221.5.
Brooklyn had an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.1 (above their season average of 25.6) while Miami made 13 of their 32 three pointers (40.6 percent). Josh Richardson had a solid performance for Miami, contributing 17 points and six rebounds. Meanwhile, Brooklyn received a boost from D’Angelo Russell, who had 23 points and 10 assists.
In their first matchup this year, Hassan Whiteside led the Heat to a 120-107 victory. He registered a double-double with 14 points and 10 rebounds. The two teams combined for 227 points, which was over the projected point total of 214, and Miami covered as a 2-point favorite. Miami did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (20-28; 71.4 percent). Brooklyn, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (28.1 vs. 16.7).
Just over half of the Nets’ games have finished over the O/U total. Brooklyn holds records of 7-10 straight up (SU) and 8-9 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Heat’s 16 games, 11 have finished over the projected point total. Additionally, Miami owns records of 6-10 SU and 6-10 ATS.
The Nets’ Russell has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 20 points,5.4 assists,1.8 steals per game. Meanwhile, Tyler Johnson has averaged 15 points,1.2 blocks during that same time frame for the Heat.
Miami figures to have the edge on the defensive side of the ball. The Heat currently rank eighth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.509), while Brooklyn is 19th in effective field goal percentage (0.515).
Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat Free Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Heat rank 5 in points allowed in the paint per game (44.25) while the Nets rank 11 (47.294117647058826).
- Miami ranks first in blocks per game (6.6) while Brooklyn ranks 25th (4.4).
- The Heat rank sixth in rebounds per game (47.6) while the Nets rank 21st in rebounds allowed per game (46.2).
- Miami ranks 20th in fast break points per game (11.6) while Brooklyn ranks last (8.6).
- Brooklyn ranks 1 in three pointers allowed per game (24.647058823529413) while Miami ranks 8 (29.5).
- The Nets average 15.1 second chance points per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Heat rank 27th in second chance points allowed per game (16.6).
- The Nets rank 20 in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.705882352941178) while the Heat rank 28 (20.0625).
- Brooklyn ranks 1 in assists allowed per game (20.764705882352942) while Miami ranks 2 (21.4375).
- Brooklyn ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (6.8) while Miami ranks 19th (7.8).
- Miami is 2-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Brooklyn is 3-0.
- The Heat are 5-8 when they score over 100 points, while the Nets are 7-9.
- Brooklyn is 6-4 ATS on the road, while Miami is 3-6 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 6 of the Heat’s 9 home games, while 6 of the Nets’ 10 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Brooklyn and Miami are both 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
- During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 110.8 points per game (0.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 117.4 points per game (6.1 above their season average).
- The Heat’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.4, up from 1.3 for the season.
