The Bowling Green Falcons (3-1), 4-point underdogs, go head-to-head with the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (4-0) in the U.S. Virgin Islands Paradise Jam at Virgin Islands Sport & Fitness Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 148 points and action gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, November 22, 2019.
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers ATS Odds
Both teams had no trouble getting past their last opponent. The Hilltoppers defeated the Campbellsville Tigers 109-66, while the Falcons beat the Fairmont State Fighting Falcons 88-66.
Bowling Green dominated every facet of the game. They had an absurd free throw rate of 0.323 (above their season average of 0.215) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 27.8 (below their season average of 29.9). Fairmont State was 0.164 and 20.5, respectively, for those same stats. Western Kentucky, meanwhile, dominated nearly every stat category in their game. They had a free throw rate of 0.262 (matching their season average) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.708 (above their season average of 0.602). For those same stats, Campbellsville put up marks of 0.111 and 0.403, respectively. Western Kentucky was led by Carson Williams, who contributed 27 points and five rebounds. Justin Turner, meanwhile fueled Bowling Green with 16 points.
The Falcons are 22-11 straight up (SU) and 16-11 against the spread (ATS) since last season. Since last season, games involving Bowling Green have finished over the O/U total 51.9 percent of the time.
The Hilltoppers, meanwhile, are 20-12 SU and 24-15 ATS since last season. Vegas has been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Western Kentucky games over that same time frame with 20 unders compared to 19 overs.
It could be a difficult game for Western Kentucky on the offensive glass. Dating back to the 2018-19 season, the Hilltoppers rank 132nd in offensive rebounding percentage (29.9 percent), while Bowling Green ranks 20th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.3 percent).
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Western Kentucky, ATS Winner – Western Kentucky, O/U – Over
Betting Notes (2018-Present):
- Western Kentucky ranks ninth in blocks per game (5.1) while Bowling Green ranks 216th (2.7).
- The Hilltoppers rank 94th in steals per game (6.9) while the Falcons rank 151st in steals allowed per game (6.3).
- The Falcons rank 136th in three pointers attempted per game (22.9) while the Hilltoppers rank 300th (18.1).
- Western Kentucky averages 37.0 rebounds per game, which ranks 98th in the country. Bowling Green ranks 214th in rebounds allowed per game (36.0).
