Bowling Green Falcons vs. Buffalo Bulls ATS Prediction 03/08/19

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The 19th-ranked Buffalo Bulls (27-3, 15-2 MAC) welcome the Bowling Green Falcons (20-10, 12-5 MAC) to Alumni Arena as the regular season finishes up. The game can be seen on ESPNU at 6 p.m. ET on Friday, March 8, 2019.

Bowling Green Falcons at Buffalo Bulls Betting Odds

In their last matchup, the Bulls barely escaped the Ohio Bobcats, 82-79, while the Falcons got blown out by the Akron Zips, 91-67.

Buffalo dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a solid free throw rate of 0.288 (above their season average of 0.220) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.6 (below their season average of 32.4). Ohio recorded marks of 0.149 and 26.3, respectively, for those same stats. Bowling Green, on the other hand, had a much better free throw rate (0.149 vs. 0.047). CJ Massinburg put together a good outing for Buffalo with 17 points, seven rebounds and six assists. Bowling Green, meanwhile, rallied around Justin Turner, who had 21 points.

In their first matchup this season, Demajeo Wiggins led the Falcons to a 92-88 win. He notched a double-double with 17 points and 10 rebounds. One of Bowling Green’s largest strengths was getting to the free throw line. They had 36 free throw attempts, while Buffalo had just 19.

There could be plenty of transition action in this contest that features two of the country’s more fast-paced teams. Buffalo currently ranks 19th in possessions per game (74.3) and Bowling Green is 44th (72.5). Furthermore, the Falcons commit the 44th-fewest errors in the country (turnover percentage of 16.6 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of the Bulls causes the 51st-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 21.4 percent).

Bowling Green Falcons at Buffalo Bulls ATS Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Buffalo, ATS Winner – Bowling Green, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Buffalo ranks 13th in three pointers attempted per game (28.4) while Bowling Green ranks 267th in three pointers allowed per game (26.3).
  • The Bulls rank 37th in steals allowed per game (5.3) while the Falcons rank 141st (6.5).
  • Buffalo blocks 4.0 opponent shots per game, which ranks 56th in the NCAA. Bowling Green ranks 72nd in blocks allowed per game (3.0).
  • The Falcons rank fourth in rebounds per game (41.3) while the Bulls rank 231st in rebounds allowed per game (37.0).
  • Buffalo ranks 12th in assists per game (17.1) while Bowling Green ranks 169th (13.0).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Falcons have scored an average of 74.6 points per game (3.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 81.2 points per game (8.8 above their season average).
  • The Bulls’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 18.8, up from 14.2 for the season.