J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox will be taking the field versus their division rival Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field in a Sunday matinee. New England Sports Network will be televising the matchup. The first pitch will be at 2:10 p.m. ET.
Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays Odds
Las Vegas has Tampa Bay (-110) as the favorite over Boston (+100). You can play game’s total with current odds listed at -105 for over 8 runs and -115 for under 8. There’s a runline of Red Sox +1.5 (-210) and Rays -1.5 (+175) for this matchup.
The Red Sox have gone 8-13 SU this year and are 4-16 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 13.9 units ATS. The Rays, on the other hand, are 14-7 SU and 14-6 ATS. The team has gained 5.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.8 units ATS.
Rays games have an over/under record of 8-11-1 thus far in 2019. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 11-8-1.
Left-hander David Price is projected to start for Boston. Price (1-1, 3.79 ERA) has racked up 20 punchouts in 19 innings so far. He has yet to face Tampa Bay this year, but he made five starts against the Rays in 2018, putting together a 2-1 record against them with a 2.20 ERA and 32 strikeouts.
The Rays will send righty Tyler Glasnow (4-0, 1.13 ERA) to the mound. Glasnow has 24 strikeouts and three walks to his name as well as a 0.88 WHIP. Glasnow only made one start against the Red Sox in 2018 (0-1, 5.40 ERA and four strikeouts across 6.2 innings).
Boston’s pitchers have allowed 6.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 6.42 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 8.02 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.03, along with a K-per-9 of 10.75.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .233/.305/.389 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Left fielder J.D. Martinez and shortstop Xander Bogaerts have led Boston’s offense. Martinez is hitting .351/.432/.571 with four home runs, 11 RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Bogaerts (.282/.373/.451) has produced two homers, eight RBIs and 12 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have given up 2.9 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 1.84, a WHIP of 0.84 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.8. The bullpen has a 3.86 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In eight games against AL East foes, Rays starters have an ERA of 2.35 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.53.
The Tampa Bay hitters have produced 5.0 runs per contest, including 5.8 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .274/.358/.554 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Austin Meadows and Tommy Pham have led the Rays’ batters so far. Meadows is slashing .351/.422/.676 with six home runs, 19 RBIs and 11 runs scored, and Pham’s line sits at .295/.404/.410 with 23 hits, nine RBIs, 10 runs and six stolen bases.
The Red Sox have lost 9.8 units and are 3-10 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rays have netted 3.0 units and are 4-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in one of those games, as opposed to four which went under the total.
Red Sox vs. Rays Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in just two of Boston’s last seven games.
- Boston fielders have nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to only four errors for Tampa Bay over its last 10.
- The Red Sox have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit 21 over their last 10.
- The Red Sox have an OPS of .694 this season and an OPS of .683 against right-handed pitchers. The Rays’ OPS stands at .809 overall and .822 versus righties.
