The Minnesota Twins are facing off against the Boston Red Sox at Target Field. Fox Sports North will broadcast this AL matchup and the first pitch will be at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
The Twins are 47-23 straight up (SU) and 41-28 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 22.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.3 units ATS. The Red Sox are 39-34 SU and have gone 30-42 against the spread. Overall, the team’s lost 13.2 units for moneyline bettors and 15.8 units ATS.
Twins games have a 36-28-5 over/under record so far in 2019. The Red Sox have also been a decent over bet with a total record of 39-30-3.
Rick Porcello will get the nod for the BoSox. The right-handed Porcello is 4-6 with a 4.69 ERA and 66 strikeouts. He has yet to face Minnesota this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 2-0 record with a 2.84 ERA and 10 strikeouts.
The Twins are turning to righty Jose Berrios (8-2, 3.01 ERA), who’s got 84 strikeouts and 17 walks, in addition to a 1.10 WHIP. Berrios made two starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 0-1 record in 2018, posting a 0-1 record with a 3.27 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.56, a WHIP of 1.16 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.69 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
The Minnesota hitters are putting up 6.0 runs per outing, including 6.1 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .285/.363/.497 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Twins’ offense has been led by Jorge Polanco, who is slashing .332/.395/.557 with 10 home runs, 37 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.59 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.65 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.00, along with a WHIP of 1.27.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .262/.343/.450 on their way to 5.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Rafael Devers has provided a spark to the Boston offense. Devers is slashing .306/.362/.502 with 11 home runs, 45 RBIs, 52 runs and eight stolen bases.
The Red Sox just got an 8-6 victory over the Orioles, while the Twins are coming off of an 8-6 loss against the Royals.
Red Sox vs. Twins Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in only one of Minnesota’s last seven games.
- The Red Sox have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 14 over their last five.
- The Red Sox have a team OPS of .793 this season and an OPS of .815 against right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS stands at .859 overall and .852 against righties.
- Minnesota has posted 26.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.2 over its last five.
