Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros Free Pick

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The Boston Red Sox are facing off against the Houston Astros in Game 4 of the ALCS. The visiting Red Sox currently own a 2-1 series lead, and the action will be televised on TBS. This matchup gets underway 8:39 p.m. ET.

Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros Odds

The Red Sox are 113-56 SU and have gone 97-71 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 34.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 23.2 units ATS. The Astros, on the other hand, are 107-61 SU and 87-80 ATS. The team has gained 0.2 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.6 units ATS.

Houston games have an over/under record of 74-85-8 in 2018. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 81-79-8.

The right-handed Rick Porcello is projected to start for the visiting Red Sox. Porcello (17-7, 4.28 ERA) has recorded 190 strikeouts in 191.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Houston this year (two starts).

The Astros are putting the ball in the hands of righty Charlie Morton (15-3, 3.13 ERA), who has 201 strikeouts and 64 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.16. Morton is 1-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 6.97 ERA across two starts against Boston this year.

Behind a team slash line of .251/.339/.385, the Red Sox have averaged 6.3 runs scored through seven playoff games. Houston is hitting .262/.379/.480 and the team has managed 5.8 runs during this year’s playoffs.

The Astros bullpen has registered an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.02 this postseason, while Red Sox relievers have a 3.68 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.

Boston’s offensive production has been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts, who have already combined to drive in 220 runs. Martinez is slashing .327/.399/.620 with 44 home runs, 137 RBIs and 112 runs scored, while Betts is slashing .341/.433/.625 with 32 homers, 83 RBIs, 135 runs and 30 steals.

Third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve have led the Astros’ offense this year. Bregman is hitting .291/.407/.544 with 33 home runs, 108 RBIs and 112 runs scored, while Altuve’s line is .315/.385/.451 with 14 homers, 64 RBIs, 91 runs and 17 steals.

The Red Sox just took Game 3 of the series by a score of eight runs to two.

Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Boston has recorded 15 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Houston has 16 XBH over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have won four of their last five games SU.
  • Boston has posted 24.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.2 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 17 over their last 10.