Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers Free Preview

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The Boston Red Sox will make a road trip to Detroit to face the Tigers at Comerica Park. This AL matchup will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Detroit will be televising the game.

Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers Odds

The Red Sox are 46-41 SU and have gone 36-50 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 18.9 units for moneyline bettors and 19.3 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 28-54 SU and 34-47 ATS. The team’s lost 16.3 units for moneyline bettors and 18.1 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Tigers games have an over/under record of 36-40-5 so far in 2019. Boston has been a good over bet with a total record of 48-35-3.

The southpaw Eduardo Rodriguez will get the nod for the visiting Red Sox. Rodriguez (8-4, 4.79 ERA) has recorded 102 strikeouts in 97.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Detroit this year.

The Tigers are going with lefty Gregory Soto (0-2, 8.44 ERA), who has 15 strikeouts and 12 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.88. Soto has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not appear in the majors in 2018.

As a unit, Detroit’s pitchers have yielded 5.4 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.81 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.00 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.

The Detroit hitters are putting up 3.6 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 6.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .272/.340/.429 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Tigers’ batters have been led by Nicholas Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera. Castellanos is slashing .285/.347/.476 with nine home runs, 32 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Cabrera’s line is .303/.367/.401 with five homers, 36 RBIs and 21 runs.

For the visitors, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.70 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.57 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.45, along with a WHIP of 1.31.

The Red Sox offense has slashed .270/.346/.459 on its way to 5.6 runs scored per game this season, including 6.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 8.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Boston’s hitters have been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts, who’ve collectively swatted 31 home runs. Devers is hitting .331/.382/.554 with 15 home runs, 59 RBIs, 66 runs and eight stolen bases, while Bogaerts (.295/.385/.529) is up to 16 homers, 59 RBIs and 65 runs scored.

The Red Sox have lost 11.9 units and are 7-16 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Tigers have netted 1.0 units and are 8-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under.

Red Sox at Tigers Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in just two of Boston’s last seven games.
  • The Red Sox have a total OPS of .805 this season and an OPS of .751 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS stands at .674 overall and .700 against lefties.
  • Detroit has posted 20.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.0 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.