Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox are paying a visit to Baltimore to face off against a divisional rival in the Orioles at Oriole Park. The matchup will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the action.
Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Baltimore (+180) is coming into this one as the underdog against Boston (-190) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). This game currently has a runline of Red Sox -1.5 (-135) and Orioles +1.5 (+115).
The Red Sox have gone 36-34 SU this year and are 28-41 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 16.6 units ATS. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 21-47 SU and 29-38 ATS. They’ve lost 11.2 units for moneyline bettors and 12.9 units ATS.
Baltimore games have an over/under record of 31-33-3 so far in 2019. The Red Sox have been a decent over bet with a total record of 37-30-2.
Boston’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.69 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.68 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.04, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K/9 of 10.50.
The Red Sox offense has slashed .258/.338/.442 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Boston’s hitters have been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts, who’ve collectively blasted 24 home runs. Devers is slashing .296/.353/.491 with 10 home runs, 44 RBIs, 48 runs and eight stolen bases, while Bogaerts has a .295 average with 14 homers, 44 RBIs and 53 runs scored.
For the home team, Baltimore’s pitchers have yielded 6.0 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 5.41 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.86 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 30 games against divisional foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.04 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.34.
The Baltimore hitters have produced 4.0 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .257/.330/.401 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Orioles’ batters have been led by right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar. Mancini is slashing .302/.356/.553 with 14 home runs, 33 RBIs and 47 runs scored, and Villar’s line sits at .251/.310/.403 with seven homers, 26 RBIs, 38 runs and 12 steals.
The Orioles have lost 3.0 units and are 10-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under against lefty starters.
Red Sox vs. Orioles Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in just two of Boston’s last seven contests.
- The Orioles have lost three of their last four games SU.
- Boston has recorded 20.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.0 over its last five.
- The Red Sox have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
