Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Free Pick

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The Boston Red Sox will face off against their divisional rival New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. The matchup will be televised across the country on ESPN and the first pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Odds

Boston (+185) is entering this game as the underdog to New York (-200) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). You can also bet on the games spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -120 for the Red Sox +1.5 runs and +100 for the Yankees -1.5.

The Red Sox have gone 56-28 SU this year and are 47-36 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 10.9 units ATS. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 53-27 SU and 43-36 ATS. The teams gained 10.6 units for moneyline bettors and 5.9 units ATS.

New York games have an over/under record of 33-43-3 so far in 2018. Boston has an over/under record of 38-42-3.

The southpaw David Price is getting the start for the visiting Red Sox. Price (9-5, 3.66 ERA) has racked up 89 strikeouts in 93.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with a 36.00 ERA against New York this year.

The Yankees will put the ball in the right hand of Luis Severino (12-2, 2.10 ERA, 0.96 WHIP), who has 132 strikeouts and 26 walks. Severino is 0-1 with 17 strikeouts and a 5.73 ERA over two starts against Boston this year.

New York’s pitching staff has yielded 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The clubs starters have a 3.85 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.76, a WHIP of 1.10 and a K/9 of 12.0. In 33 games against AL East foes, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.20 and the bullpens ERA is 3.02.

The New York offense is putting up 5.1 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .213/.284/.381 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Yankees batters have been led by Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge. Stanton is slashing .263/.338/.503 with 19 home runs, 46 RBIs and 47 runs scored, and Judge’s line is .272/.390/.552 with 21 homers, 54 RBIs and 54 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.71 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.60 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.13, along with a K-per-9 of 9.64.

The Red Sox offense has slashed .267/.334/.459 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over the teams last five contests (4-1 SU).

Boston’s offense has been powered by J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi. Martinez is slashing .327/.392/.641 with 25 home runs, 67 RBIs and 58 runs scored. Benintendi is hitting .285/.369/.508 with 13 homers, 53 RBIs, 56 runs and 15 steals.

The Red Sox have gained 14.4 units and are 36-25 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 10.7 units and are 12-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in seven of those games, as opposed to 15 that’ve cashed the under.

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in six of New York’s last seven games.
  • The Red Sox have won five of their last six games SU.
  • Boston has recorded 28.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 29.2 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.