Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox will do battle against their AL East foe Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre in a Wednesday night game. The game gets underway 7:07 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network is in line to broadcast the matchup.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Las Vegas has Toronto (+135) as the underdog to Boston (-145). The total currently stands at 9.5 runs and bettors can play the over or the under for -110. This game currently has a runline of Red Sox -1.5 (+100) and Blue Jays +1.5 (-120).
The Red Sox are 25-23 SU and have gone 19-28 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.3 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 11.2 units ATS. Boston’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 20-28 SU and 23-24 ATS. They’ve lost 7.5 units for moneyline bettors and 5.1 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Toronto games have had an over/under record of 19-27-1 so far in 2019. Boston has been a decent over bet with a total record of 27-19-1.
Rick Porcello will get the nod for the visiting Red Sox. The right-handed Porcello is 3-4 with a 4.80 ERA and 43 strikeouts. He has yet to face Toronto this year, but he did make four starts against the team in 2018, posting a 1-2 record with a 9.15 ERA and 21 strikeouts.
The Blue Jays are sending righty Aaron Sanchez (3-4, 3.88 ERA) to the mound. Sanchez has 50 strikeouts and 29 walks as well as a 1.51 WHIP. Sanchez is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA in one start against Boston this year.
Boston’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.89 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.74 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.72, along with a K/9 of 10.52.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .257/.344/.433 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Boston’s hitters have been paced by third baseman Rafael Devers and outfielder J.D. Martinez. Devers is hitting .320/.390/.472 with five home runs, 26 RBIs, 32 runs and six stolen bases, while Martinez is hitting .308 with nine homers, 29 RBIs and 28 runs scored.
For the home team, Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.32 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.53 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 10 games against divisional opponents, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 3.65 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.08.
Toronto’s hitters have produced 3.8 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .261/.333/.490 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Blue Jays’ hitters have been led by Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk. Galvis is slashing .266/.303/.432 with six home runs, 18 RBIs and 20 runs scored, and Grichuk’s line sits at .243/.301/.436 with eight homers, 19 RBIs and 24 runs scored.
The Red Sox have lost 2.7 units and are 16-18 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have lost 11.1 units and are 16-18 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- Boston has logged 19 extra-base hits over its last five games. Toronto has 16 XBH over its last five.
- Toronto has posted 18.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.0 over its last five.
- The Red Sox have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 14 over their last 10.
- The Red Sox have a team OPS of .777 this season and an OPS of .780 against right-handed pitchers. The Blue Jays’ OPS sits at .657 overall and .664 against righties.
