Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Free Pick

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Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox will take the field against their divisional rival New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium in a Sunday night game. The matchup can be viewed across the country on ESPN and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Odds

Bookmakers have New York (+110) as the underdog to Boston (-120). You can play game’s total with current odds listed at even money (+100) for over 9.5 runs and -120 for under 9.5. This game currently has a runline of Red Sox -1.5 (+125) and Yankees +1.5 (-145).

The Red Sox are 29-29 SU and are 23-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 13.7 units ATS. Boston is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 38-19 SU and 32-24 ATS. They’ve gained 8.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.8 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Yankees games have an over/under record of 29-24-3 thus far in 2019. The Red Sox have been a decent over bet with a total record of 32-23-2.

David Price is getting the start for the visiting Red Sox. The left-handed Price is 2-2 with a 2.83 ERA and 53 strikeouts. He has yet to face New York this year, but he did make four starts against the Yankees in 2018, posting a 0-3 record against them with a 10.34 ERA and 11 strikeouts.

The Yankees are handing the ball to lefty CC Sabathia (3-1, 3.48 ERA), who has 34 strikeouts and 17 walks as well as a 1.26 WHIP. Sabathia made three starts against the team in 2018, putting together a 1-0 record in 2018, compiling a 1-0 record with a 4.50 ERA and 12 strikeouts.

Boston’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.76 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.43 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.02, along with a K-per-9 of 10.30.

Red Sox hitters have slashed .259/.342/.441 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Boston’s offensive production has been powered by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Devers is hitting .317/.374/.502 with eight home runs, 32 RBIs, 40 runs and seven stolen bases, while Bogaerts has a .301 average with 11 homers, 38 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

For the home team, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.80, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 3.47 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 10.5 K/9. In 22 games against divisional foes, Yankees starters have an ERA of 3.63 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.62.

The New York hitters are putting up 5.4 runs per contest, including 6.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .268/.326/.488 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres have led the Yankees’ offense this year. LeMahieu is slashing .314/.364/.456 with six home runs, 34 RBIs and 36 runs scored, and Torres has produced a line of .288/.332/.542 with 14 homers, 31 RBIs and 34 runs scored.

The Red Sox have lost 9.4 units and are 4-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in eight of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 1.4 units and are 7-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in five of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve gone under.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Boston has logged 23 extra-base hits over its last five contests. New York has 15 XBH over its last five.
  • Boston has recorded 25.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.2 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
  • The Red Sox have a total OPS of .783 this season and an OPS of .739 against left-handed pitchers. The Yankees’ OPS stands at .787 overall and .687 against southpaws.