The Houston Astros are hosting the Boston Red Sox in Game 3 of the AL Championship. The series is currently tied 1-1. The matchup is slated to begin at 5:09 p.m. ET and will be broadcasted on TBS.
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros Odds
Houston (-130) is favored over Boston (+120) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (+105 for the over and -125 for the under). The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -175 for picking the Red Sox +1.5 runs and +155 for the Astros -1.5.
The Red Sox have gone 112-56 SU across the regular season and playoffs, and are 97-71 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 34.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 23.2 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Astros, on the other hand, are 107-60 SU and 87-80 ATS. The team’s gained 0.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.6 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Astros games have an over/under record of 74-85-8 in 2018. Boston has an over/under record of 81-79-8.
Nathan Eovaldi will get the start for the BoSox. The right-handed Eovaldi is 6-7 with a 3.81 ERA and 101 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA against Houston this year.
The Astros are sending lefty Dallas Keuchel (12-11, 3.74 ERA) to the mound. Keuchel has 153 strikeouts and 58 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.31 WHIP. Keuchel is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 7.50 ERA in one start against Boston this year.
With a team slash line of .250/.338/.373, the Red Sox have averaged 6.0 runs scored through six postseason games. Houston is hitting .274/.399/.530 and the team has put up 6.6 runs during this year’s playoffs.
The Astros bullpen (8.5 K/9) has registered an ERA of 1.23 and a WHIP of 0.89 this postseason, while Red Sox relievers (11.0 K/9) have performed significantly worse with a 4.10 ERA and 1.33 WHIP.
Boston’s hitters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts, who collectively have blasted 76 home runs. Martinez is slashing .327/.399/.620 with 44 home runs, 136 RBIs and 112 runs scored, while Betts (.342/.435/.629) is up to 32 homers, 83 RBIs, 134 runs and 30 stolen bases.
Third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve have led the Astros’ hitters this year. Bregman is hitting .289/.405/.541 with 33 home runs, 107 RBIs and 112 runs scored, and Altuve is hitting .313 with 14 homers, 64 RBIs, 89 runs and 17 stolen bases.
The Red Sox are coming off of a 7-5 victory in Game .
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in five of Boston’s last seven games.
- The Red Sox have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 17 over their last 10.
- Houston has recorded 19.7 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.0 over its last five.
- The Red Sox have won three of their last four games SU.