The Boston Red Sox will be taking on their AL East nemesis Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. New England Sports Network will broadcast the matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
Vegas has listed Baltimore (+165) as the underdog to Boston (-175). The total sits at 9 runs and bettors can take the over or the under for -110. The games runline odds stand at -120 for taking the Red Sox -1.5 runs and +100 for the Orioles +1.5 runs.
The Red Sox have gone 71-32 SU this year and are 62-40 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 25.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 21.8 units ATS. Boston’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 29-73 SU and 40-61 ATS. They’ve lost 41.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 28.8 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Baltimore games have a 40-57-4 over/under record in 2018. Boston has an over/under record of 48-51-3.
The southpaw David Price is getting the nod for the visiting Red Sox. Price (11-6, 4.17 ERA) has racked up 114 punchouts in 114.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 2.00 ERA against Baltimore this year.
The Orioles are sending righty Dylan Bundy (6-9, 4.57 ERA) to the mound. Bundy has 116 punchouts and 35 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.30. Bundy is 0-2 with 21 strikeouts and a 2.29 ERA over three starts against Boston this year.
Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.66 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.71 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.39, along with a K-per-9 of 9.67.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .270/.339/.459 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).
J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have paced Boston’s hitters. Martinez is slashing .323/.387/.644 with 31 home runs, 85 RBIs and 74 runs scored, while Betts has a .351 average with 24 homers, 52 RBIs, 81 runs and 18 steals.
For the home team, Baltimore’s pitching staff has yielded 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.30 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.28 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 41 games against AL East opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 6.02 and the bullpens ERA is 3.88.
The Baltimore hitters are putting up 3.6 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The teams hit .260/.312/.457 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have led the Orioles batters this year. Machado is hitting .315/.387/.575 with 24 home runs, 65 RBIs, 48 runs and eight stolen bases, while Jones has put up a line of .277/.304/.422 with 10 homers, 38 RBIs and 39 runs scored.
The Red Sox have gained 24.7 units and are 48-27 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 36 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 6.4 units and are 17-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve cashed the under.
Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Boston has logged 12 extra-base hits over its last five games. Baltimore has 18 XBH over its last five.
- Baltimore has recorded 19.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.4 over its last five.
- The Red Sox have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
