The Boston Red Sox will be taking on their AL East nemesis Baltimore Orioles in a Wednesday showdown. The matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network.
Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Baltimore (+225) is heading into this one as a really heavy underdog to Boston (-250) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). The game’s runline odds stand at -160 for betting the Red Sox -1.5 runs and +140 for the Orioles +1.5.
The Red Sox have gone 18-19 SU this year and are 14-22 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 13.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline over the early portions of the year and 9.2 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 13-23 SU and 15-20 ATS. They’ve gained 1.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 6.7 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Orioles games have an over/under record of 19-15-1 so far in 2019. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 20-15-1.
Southpaw Chris Sale is getting the start for the visiting Red Sox. Sale is 1-5 with a 5.25 ERA and 42 strikeouts. He has yet to face Baltimore this year, but he made four starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 2-0 record with a 2.18 ERA and 37 strikeouts.
The Orioles will turn to righty Andrew Cashner (4-1, 4.71 ERA), who’s got 28 punchouts and 15 walks, along with a 1.46 WHIP. Cashner is 1-0 with two strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against Boston this year.
As a unit, Baltimore’s pitching staff has yielded 6.0 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 5.27 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.13 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 20 games against AL East foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 4.42 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.23.
The Baltimore offense has produced 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .238/.277/.384 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Orioles’ hitters have been led by right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar. Mancini is hitting .326/.380/.550 with six home runs, 14 RBIs and 25 runs scored, and Villar’s line is .265/.319/.422 with four homers, 16 RBIs, 22 runs and seven steals.
For the visiting squad, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.08 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.33 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.12, along with a K/9 of 10.31.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .248/.336/.410 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Boston’s offensive production has been powered by outfielders J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts, who collectively have launched 11 home runs. Martinez is slashing .323/.399/.496 with five home runs, 21 RBIs and 20 runs scored. Betts is slashing .291/.401/.493 with six homers, 20 RBIs and 27 runs scored.
The Red Sox have lost 6.7 units and are 12-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 1.9 units and are 3-9 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in six of those games, as opposed to five that’ve cashed the under.
Red Sox at Orioles MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in only one of Baltimore’s last seven games.
- The Red Sox have a total OPS of .746 this season and an OPS of .752 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS sits at .697 overall and .697 versus righties.
- The Red Sox have won four of their last five games SU.
- Boston has posted 25.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 28.2 over its last five.
- The Red Sox have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
