Boston Red Sox at Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

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J.D. Martinez and the struggling Boston Red Sox will be taking the field versus the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field in a Saturday showdown. Fox Sports Arizona will be televising this interleague showdown and the game gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Boston Red Sox at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Sportsbooks have Arizona (+125) as the underdog to Boston (-135). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to go below 8.5 runs scored, then Vegas is putting up +105 odds for the under. Taking the over can return -125 odds. There’s a runline of Red Sox -1.5 (+110) and Diamondbacks +1.5 (-130) for this matchup.

The Red Sox are 2-7 SU and have gone 1-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 6.6 units ATS. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 4-4 SU and 4-3 ATS. The team’s gained 0.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 0.3 units ATS.

Diamondbacks games have a 6-1 over/under record so far in 2019. Boston has an over/under record of 6-2.

David Price (0-1, 6.00 ERA) is getting the start for the visiting Red Sox. The left-handed Price recorded 177 strikeouts across 176 innings last year (30 starts) while finishing the season 16-7 overall with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP.

The D-backs are going with righty Luke Weaver (0-0, 8.31 ERA) as their starter. Weaver started 25 games last year and finished the season 7-11 overall with a 4.95 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP.

Boston’s pitchers have allowed 7.4 runs per game and its starters own a 9.60 ERA, 2.06 WHIP and 7.81 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.28, along with a WHIP of 2.06 and a K/9 of 10.69.

Red Sox hitters have slashed .249/.314/.404 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this year, including over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Outfielders J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have led Boston’s offense. Martinez is slashing .351/.415/.595 with 13 hits, eight RBIs and five runs scored, while Betts (.289/.372/.526) has produced 11 hits, two homers, five RBIs and nine runs scored.

For the home team, Arizona’s pitchers have yielded 7.8 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 6.53, a WHIP of 1.48 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has an 8.22 ERA, 2.02 WHIP and 5.9 K/9.

The Arizona hitters are putting up 7.0 runs per outing, including 8.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .347/.391/.642 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders David Peralta and Adam Jones have paced the Diamondbacks’ offense so far. Peralta is slashing .447/.447/.711 with 17 hits, four RBIs and seven runs scored, while Jones has produced a line of .389/.405/.833 with 14 hits, five RBIs and six runs scored.

The Red Sox have lost 3.5 units and are 1-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in two of those games, as opposed to two that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 0.6 units and are 2-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to one which went under the total.

Red Sox at Diamondbacks Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox and Diamondbacks did not face each other in 2018.
  • The Red Sox have lost six of their last seven games SU while the Diamondbacks have won three of their last four SU.
  • The Red Sox have a total OPS of .718 this season and an OPS of .656 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Diamondbacks’ OPS sits at .928 overall and their lefty-righty split is nearly identical.