The Boston Celtics (9-1) and the Golden State Warriors (2-10) clash at Chase Center. The Celtics are 8-point favorites and have won nine games in a row, while the Warriors have lost their last five games. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 226.5 points and it can be seen on ESPN at 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, November 15, 2019.
Boston Celtics at Golden State Warriors ATS Odds
Neither team was able to cover in their last matchup. The Celtics (7.5-point favorites) defeated the Washington Wizards, 140-133, while the Warriors (8.5-point underdogs) fell to the Los Angeles Lakers, 120-94. The Boston game went 42.5 points over the projected point total of 230.5, while the Golden State game finished 5.5 points under the projected point total of 219.5.
Boston played a nearly perfect game. They had a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 27.0 (above their season average of 19.5) and a free throw rate of 0.271 (above their season average of 0.210). Washington had marks of 20.9 and 0.229, respectively, for those same stats. Golden State, on the other hand, forced Los Angeles into a turnover percentage of 16.4 (above their season average of 12.5). D’Angelo Russell had a solid performance for Golden State, contributing 21 points and eight assists. Kemba Walker, meanwhile was a key piece for Boston with 25 points, five rebounds and five assists.
This was a highly competitive series last year, as the teams split their two games last season. The Celtics won the most recent game 128-95. The Celtics’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Warriors. Boston had a rate of 9.6, while Golden State posted a mark of 18.1. This is the first time these teams will meet this year.
Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Celtics games, with an even split between overs and unders. Boston holds records of 9-1 straight up (SU) and 6-3-1 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Warriors’ 12 games, 8 have finished over the total. Further, Golden State is 2-10 SU and 4-8 ATS.
The physical Golden State offense looks poised to dominate from the charity stripe. The Warriors currently rank sixth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.229, while Boston ranks 20th in FTA rate allowed (0.221). Also, the Celtics rank first in offensive efficiency (112.1), while the Warriors rank 30th in defensive efficiency (115.4).
Boston Celtics at Golden State Warriors Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Celtics, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Celtics rank fifth in fast break points allowed per game (11.7) while the Warriors rank 12th (12.9).
- Boston ranks sixth in assists allowed per game (22.1) while Golden State ranks 27th (27.1).
- The Celtics rank first in points off turnovers allowed per game (11.9) while the Warriors rank 19th (18.5).
- Boston ranks 11th in three pointers attempted per game (35.1) while Golden State ranks 21st in three pointers allowed per game (34.8).
- Boston ranks first in steals allowed per game (4.5) while Golden State ranks ninth (7.5).
- The Celtics rank third in blocks per game (6.5) while the Warriors rank 23rd (3.8).
- The Celtics rank 17th in second chance points allowed per game (13.7) while the Warriors rank 26th (16.4).
- Boston ranks 14th in rebounds per game (46.2) while Golden State ranks 21st in rebounds allowed per game (47.0).
- Boston ranks sixth in points allowed in the paint per game (44.2) while Golden State ranks 25th (53.8).
- Boston is 2-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Golden State is 0-1.
- The Warriors are 2-7 when they reach the century mark, while the Celtics are 9-0.
- Boston is 3-1-1 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 1-5 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the Warriors’ 6 home games, while 3 of the Celtics’ 5 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Boston and Golden State have both had 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Celtics are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 2-3.
- The Celtics’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.8, up from 9.2 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 108.2 points per game (2.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 122.0 points per game (0.9 above their season average).
