Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers Betting Prediction 02/12/19

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The Boston Celtics (35-21), 5.5-point underdogs, will be at the Wells Fargo Center to clash with the Philadelphia 76ers (36-20) in an Atlantic Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 226 points and it begins at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 12, 2019.

Boston Celtics vs. Philadelphia 76ers ATS Odds

The last time the 76ers played, they had no trouble getting past the Los Angeles Lakers, 143-120, easily covering as 6.5-point favorites. The Celtics, on the other hand, were beat by the Los Angeles Clippers, 123-112, and were unable to cover as 11.5-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Philadelphia game went 28.5 points over the projected point total of 234.5, while the Boston game went 6.5 points over the projected point total of 228.5.

Philadelphia played a nearly perfect game. They had a phenomenally low turnover percentage of 6.2 (better than their season average of 13.3) and a free throw rate of 0.196 (matching their season average). For those same stats, Los Angeles recorded marks of 13.6 and 0.151, respectively. Boston, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (10.2 vs. 14.3). Joel Embiid played a key role for Philadelphia with 37 points and 14 rebounds. Boston, meanwhile, was led by Terry Rozier, who finished with 16 points and five rebounds.

In their two contests this year, the Celtics have won both. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to put up 235 points, which was over the projected point total of 224. Boston won 121-114, covering as a 5-point favorite. Boston had a much better turnover percentage (7.2 vs. 15.4). Philadelphia, on the other hand, did an excellent job of converting from the free throw line (23-29; 79.3 percent). Embiid had a double-double in the loss, with 34 points and 16 rebounds.

Of the Celtics’ 56 games, 33 have finished over the O/U total. Boston holds records of 35-21 straight up (SU) and 27-28-1 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of 76ers games, with 29 overs compared to 26 unders. Moreover, Philadelphia owns records of 36-20 SU and 27-29 ATS.

This matchup pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Philadelphia ranks third in effective field goal percentage (0.539) and Boston is second in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.508). Furthermore, the Celtics rank fourth in turnover percentage (12.6 percent), while the 76ers rank 24th in opponents’ turnover percentage (12.5 percent).

Celtics vs. 76ers Odds Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – Celtics, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The 76ers rank ninth in second chance points per game (13.8) while the Celtics rank 15th in second chance points allowed per game (13.5).
  • Boston ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.8) while Philadelphia ranks 25th (18.0).
  • The 76ers rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (43.2) while the Celtics rank 21st (45.4).
  • Boston ranks fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (45.1) while Philadelphia ranks 20th (50.4).
  • Boston ranks third in blocks per game (5.8) while Philadelphia ranks ninth (5.5).
  • The 76ers rank eighth in three pointers allowed per game (29.8) while the Celtics rank 26th (33.3).
  • The Celtics rank seventh in fast break points per game (16.6) while the 76ers rank 15th in fast break points allowed per game (13.6).
  • Philadelphia ranks third in assists per game (27.4) while Boston ranks sixth (26.4).
  • Boston ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while Philadelphia ranks 21st (8.0).
  • Boston is 13-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Philadelphia is 9-0.
  • The 76ers are 36-16 when they reach the century mark, while the Celtics are 35-17.
  • Boston is 9-16-1 ATS on the road, while Philadelphia is 16-13 ATS at home.
  • Of the Celtics’ 26 road games, they have 14 overs and 12 unders.
  • In 29 home games, the 76ers have 16 overs, 12 unders and 1 push.

Bettings Trends:

  • The 76ers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Celtics are 1-3-1.
  • In their last five games, Philadelphia has 4 unders and 1 over, while Boston has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 117.6 points per game (1.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.6 points per game (1.4 above their season average).
  • The Celtics’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.8, down from 6.4 for the season.