Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks Free Prediction

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A five-game home winning streak is on the line for the Dallas Mavericks (8-9), who will be 1.5-point underdogs when they take on the Boston Celtics (10-9) at American Airlines Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 213 points and it starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 24, 2018.

Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last contest. The Mavericks (5.5-point favorites) defeated the Brooklyn Nets 119-113, while the Celtics (14.5-point underdog) beat the Atlanta Hawks 114-96. The Dallas game finished 17 points over the projected point total of 215, while the Boston game went 5.5 points under the projected point total of 215.5.

Boston dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.7 (below their season average of 21.7) and a turnover percentage of 13.8 (worse than their season average of 11.5). Atlanta was 12.2 and 17.6, respectively, for those same stats. The Mavericks, meanwhile, knocked down 32 of their 41 free throws (78.0 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.558 (above their season average of 0.527). DeAndre Jordan had a good outing for Dallas, putting up 12 points and 14 rebounds. Meanwhile, Aron Baynes played a pivotal role for Boston with 16 points and nine rebounds.

The Celtics dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the most recent contest, Boston won 97-90. The Celtics’ offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over the Mavericks. Boston had a rate of 18.8, while Dallas posted a mark of 12.0. This is the first time these teams will meet this year.

Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Celtics games, with an even split between overs and unders. Boston heads into the game with records of 10-9 straight up (SU) and 6-12 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Mavericks games, with 9 overs compared to 8 unders. Moreover, Dallas is 8-9 SU and 11-6 ATS.

Kyrie Irving has been outstanding as of late for Boston, averaging 26 points,8.6 assists,5.4 rebounds,2.4 steals over the last five games.

Dallas might struggle to score as they clash against one of the league’s best defenses. Boston currently ranks first in defensive efficiency while the Mavericks rank 16th in offensive efficiency.

Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks Odds Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Celtics, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Celtics rank 2 in blocks allowed per game (4) while the Mavericks rank 7 (4.764705882352941).
  • Boston ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (6.8) while Dallas ranks 26th (9.4).
  • The Mavericks rank 10th in three pointers attempted per game (33.0) while the Celtics rank 23rd in three pointers allowed per game (32.7).
  • Boston ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (13.3) while Dallas ranks 14th (17.2).
  • Boston averages 15.210526315789474 fast break points per game, which ranks 10 in the NBA. Dallas ranks 19 in fast break points allowed per game (14.352941176470589).
  • The Mavericks rank third in rebounds allowed per game (41.8) while the Celtics rank 24th (47.0).
  • The Mavericks rank 17 in points in the paint per game (46) while the Celtics rank 29 (39.89473684210526).
  • Dallas ranks 4 in second chance points allowed per game (11.411764705882353) while Boston ranks 6 (11.842105263157896).
  • Boston ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (21.7) while Dallas ranks 23rd (24.2).
  • Boston is 5-2 when they allow under 100 points, while Dallas is 3-1.
  • In games where they score over 100 points, the Mavericks are 8-8 and the Celtics are 10-6.
  • Dallas is 7-2 ATS at home, while Boston is 2-8 ATS on the road.
  • Of the Celtics’ 10 road games, they have 5 overs and 5 unders.
  • In 9 home games, the Mavericks have 5 overs and 4 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Celtics are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Dallas has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Boston has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 108.0 points per game (1.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 97.2 points per game (11.6 below their season average).
  • The Celtics have scored an equal number of points as their opponents. For the season, Boston has defeated opponents by an average of 2.7 points.