Boston Bruins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Free Prediction 4/21/19

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The Boston Bruins hope to stave off elimination at Scotiabank Arena in Game 6 of the opening round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The match will get underway at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 21, and fans at home can see this Original Six matchup live on NBC.

Boston Bruins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

Boston (-105) is playing the role of underdog to Toronto (-115), and the oddsmakers have put the Over/Under (O/U) at 6 goals. The line for betting that total stands at -115 for the over and -105 on the under.

Boston is 51-36 straight up (SU) and has lost 0.6 units for moneyline bettors thus far. 47 of its matches have gone under the total, while 36 have gone over and just four have pushed. This 2018-19 Bruins team is 21-22 SU on the road.

After accounting for the third-strongest power-play unit in the regular season (scoring on 26.4 percent of all chances), the Bruins have connected on 35.7 percent of their extra-man advantages in the early stages of these playoffs.

Boston’s offense attempted 32.8 shots per game in the regular season, leading to 3.1 goals per contest (ranked 11th overall in the NHL). In the playoffs, the club is climbed to an average of 35.0 shots on goal 2.8 goals per game.

Averaging 25.3 saves per game with a .914 save percentage, Tuukka Rask (29-22-5) has been the top option in goal for Boston this year. If it chooses to rest him, however, Boston may turn to Jaroslav Halak (22-18-4 record, .922 save percentage, 2.34 goals against average).

Brad Marchand and David Pastrnak will both be relied on to produce for the visiting Bruins. Marchand has 106 points via 38 goals and 68 assists, and has recorded two or more points in 33 different games. Pastrnak has 40 goals and 45 assists to his name (and has logged a point in 46 games).

Toronto is 49-38 straight up (SU) and has recorded -12.6 units for moneyline bettors this year. 42 of its contests have gone under the total, while 41 have gone over and just four have pushed. It’s 24-19 SU at home this year.

Toronto has converted on 21.4 percent of its power play opportunities this year, a figure that places it in the top-10 among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 16th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 79.3 percent of all penalties.

Toronto players have been whistled for penalties only 2.8 times per game this season, 3.0 per game over their past five outings total, and 2.4 per game over their last five home outings. The team has had to kill penalties just 7.5 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Frederik Andersen (30.1 saves per game) has been the top selection in goal for Toronto. Andersen has 39 wins, 26 losses, and seven overtime losses to his credit and has maintained a .918 save percentage and 2.76 goals against average this season.

Mitchell Marner (28 goals, 70 assists) will pace the offensive counter for the Leafs.

Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Predictions

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Maple Leafs, O/U – Over

Betting Notes

  • For both of these clubs, the total has gone under in four of their past five matches.
  • Two clubs that shoot the puck early and often, Boston has registered the league’s ninth-most shots on goal (32.8) and Toronto has attempted the fifth-most (33.2).
  • Toronto has allowed 3.0 goals per game, while scoring just 3.0 per contest, in its last three contests (the team is 0-3 SU over that stretch).
  • Six of Toronto’s last ten contests have been decided by two or more goals, and the club is 1-5 overall in those games.
  • Boston skaters created 24.3 hits per game last season, while the Maple Leafs posted 20.8 hits per matchup.