The Rebels of UNLV (-21.5) are set to host their MWC foe No. 16 Boise State Broncos at Sam Boyd Stadium. CBS Sports Network has the TV rights and the game’s scheduled to get going at 10:30 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: UNLV Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos
Boise State is the heavy road favorite and is currently giving up 21.5 points to UNLV. If the Rebels get out in front early it will create a reasonable live betting opportunity. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 55 points.
With the line opening at 21 and the O/U initially placed at 55.5, oddsmakers have shifted this game’s outlook a bit.
The profitable Broncos have gained 4.1 units so far and are 3-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 2-2.
The Rebels have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 3.0 units. They’re 2-2 ATS and also own an even O/U record of 2-2.
The Broncos have gone 4-0 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against conference opponents. The Rebels are 1-3 SU overall and 0-1 SU in conference play.
The Broncos are looking to remain undefeated after a 30-19 victory over Air Force on September 20. Hank Bachmeier completed 19-of-26 passes for 263 yards and two touchdowns. Robert Mahone (73 yards on 13 rush attempts, two TDs) led the running attack in the win. John Hightower (five receptions, 48 yards) and CT Thomas (five catches, 119 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.
On September 28, Wyoming knocked off this UNLV crew by a score of 53-17. The Rebels defense allowed the Cowboys to eat up the clock by rushing for 374 yards on 48 attempts, including five rush TDs. Titus Swen had a productive showing in the win for Wyoming, accounting for 136 rushing yards and a score on 14 attempts. As a group, the Rebels collectively completed 22-of-44 passes for 263 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Kenyon Oblad went 16-for-31 for 176 yards and two interceptions while Armani Rogers was six-of-13 for 87 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Darran Williams (30 rushing yards on 11 attempts) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat while Randal Grimes (six receptions, 66 yards) and Giovanni Fauolo Sr. (four catches, 83 yards, one TD) led the receiving attack.
Boise State has run the ball on 52.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while UNLV has a rush percentage of 55.7 percent. The Broncos have run for 153.5 yards/game and have six touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Rebels are putting up 201.5 rush yards per game and have 11 total rushing TDs.
The Broncos offensive scheme has tallied 322.5 yards/game through the air overall and has eight passing TDs so far. The Rebels have produced 174.5 pass yards per outing and have three total pass scores.
Defensively, Boise State appears to have the upper hand in both phases. The team has allowed 142 rush yards and 157.3 pass yards per game. The UNLV defense has allowed 217 yards per game to opposing passers and 227.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Broncos are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.46 to opposing QBs, while the Rebels have given up a 7.61 ANY/A.
Bachmeier has been more productive than Rogers lately, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 7.47for the year (and 9.21 over the last two games). Rogers’ ANY/A is 3.10 for the year and 2.68 across his last two outings.
These two conference adversaries did not get a chance to face one another last year.
Boise State Broncos vs. UNLV Rebels Free NCAA Betting Tip
SU Winner: UNLV, ATS Winner: UNLV, O/U: Under
Betting Notes
- The O/U for Boise State’s previous game was set at 53. The under cashed in the team’s 30-19 win over Air Force.
- Boise State, as a team, has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its past three games and 4.1 over its last two.
- UNLV has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.2 over its last two.
- Both teams have lost three fumbles this season.
- Over its last three matchups, Boise State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for UNLV’s previous matchup was set at 45.5. The over cashed in the team’s 53-17 defeat to Wyoming.
- In its last three matchups, UNLV is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Broncos offense has produced four pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Rebels have accounted for three such plays.
- The Boise State defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while UNLV has given up five such plays.
- The Boise State offense has created four rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while UNLV has created eight such runs.
- The Broncos defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Rebels have given up eight such runs.
- The Boise State defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 14 times this year. UNLV has registered just six sacks.
