Boise State Broncos at San Diego State Aztecs ATS Prediction 02/16/19

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A six-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the San Diego State Aztecs (15-9, 7-4 MWC) when they meet the Boise State Broncos (11-14, 6-6 MWC) at Viejas Arena at Aztec Bowl. Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 16, 2019, and can be seen on CBS Sports Network.

Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs Betting Odds

In their last matchup, the Aztecs beat the Colorado State Rams, 71-60, while the Broncos lost a close one to the Fresno State Bulldogs, 65-63.

San Diego State dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.154 (below their season average of 0.270) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 35.7 (above their season average of 30.8). Colorado State had marks of 0.052 and 26.5, respectively, for those same stats. Boise State, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (11.8 vs. 18.9). Jalen McDaniels had a solid performance for San Diego State, putting up 18 points and 12 rebounds. Alex Hobbs, meanwhile played a key role for Boise State with 18 points.

In their first matchup this year, Derrick Alston led the Broncos to an 88-64 win. He was the game’s leading scorer with 30 points. Boise State’s 0.647 effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over San Diego State, who had a mark of 0.435.

The physical San Diego State offense could be living from the free throw line in this matchup. The Aztecs currently rank 81st in the country with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.265, while Boise State ranks 227th in FTA rate allowed (0.243).

Boise State vs. San Diego State Odds Pick

College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – San Diego State, ATS Winner – San Diego State, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Boise State ranks 112th in three pointers allowed per game (21.4) while San Diego State ranks 242nd (24.7).
  • The Aztecs allow the 19th-fewest blocks per game (2.4) while the Broncos rank 41st (2.6).
  • San Diego State averages 15.2 assists per game, which ranks 54th in the NCAA. Boise State ranks 74th in assists allowed per game (12.1).
  • The Aztecs rank 150th in rebounds per game (35.3) while the Broncos rank 265th (31.6).
  • Boise State ranks 17th in steals allowed per game (5.0) while San Diego State ranks 85th (6.0).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Aztecs have scored an average of 68.4 points per game (6.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 62.6 points per game (6.2 below their season average).
  • The Broncos’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.4, down from 4.2 for the season.