Washington Wizards at Toronto Raptors Free Prediction

Daniel GimenezBasketball, NBA

The Washington Wizards (6-11), 10-point underdogs, will have their chance to bring down the NBA’s top team when they square off against the Toronto Raptors (15-4) at Scotiabank Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 228.5 points and it begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, November 23, 2018.

Washington Wizards vs. Toronto Raptors Betting Odds

Both teams covered as favorites in their last game. The Raptors (8-point favorites) defeated the Atlanta Hawks 124-108, while the Wizards (1-point favorites) beat the Los Angeles Clippers 125-118. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Toronto game went 7.5 points over the projected point total of 224.5, while the Washington game finished 8.5 points over the projected point total of 234.5.

Washington dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an absurdly low turnover percentage of 6.0 (better than their season average of 12.5) and a free throw rate of 0.344 (above their season average of 0.239). Los Angeles put up marks of 14.9 and 0.169, respectively, for those same stats. Meanwhile, Toronto dominated nearly every stat category in their game. They had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 35.9 (above their season average of 24.0) and a free throw rate of 0.189 (above their season average of 0.184). Atlanta was 18.0 and 0.151, respectively, for those same stats. Toronto was lifted by Kyle Lowry, who registered his zeroth triple-double of the season. He dominated, racking up 21 points, 17 assists and 12 rebounds. John Wall, meanwhile played a key role for Washington with 30 points and eight assists.

In their first matchup this year, Lowry led the Raptors to a 117-113 win. He notched a double-double with 28 points and 12 assists. Toronto covered as a 2-point underdog and the two teams combined to score 230 points, which was over the projected point total of 219.5. Toronto’s rebounding was their largest advantage. The Raptors had 14 offensive rebounds and 52 total rebounds, while the Wizards had nine and 37, respectively.

Vegas has a tendency to set the total low when the Wizards are involved, as 64.7 percent of their games have ended over the O/U total. Washington comes into the contest with records of 6-11 straight up (SU) and 5-11-1 against the spread (ATS).

Coinciding with Washington, Raptors games also have typically finished over the projected point total (63.2 percent). Further, Toronto owns records of 15-4 SU and 10-9 ATS.

Pascal Siakam has taken his game to another level recently for Toronto, averaging 16 points,7.2 rebounds,1.2 steals,1.2 blocks over the last five games.

Toronto could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their high-powered offense goes up against one of the worst defenses in the league. The Raptors rank fourth in offensive efficiency, while Washington ranks 27th in defensive efficiency. Furthermore, the Wizards rank third in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.246), while the Raptors rank fifth in opponents’ FTA rate (0.182).

Washington Wizards at Toronto Raptors Free Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Raptors average 33.21052631578947 three pointers per game, which ranks 8 in the NBA. The Wizards rank 14 in three pointers allowed per game (31.058823529411764).
  • Toronto averages 25.3 assists per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Washington ranks 25th in assists allowed per game (25.7).
  • The Wizards rank second in blocks per game (6.4) while the Raptors rank 17th (5.4).
  • Toronto ranks seventh in points off turnovers (19.2 per game) while Washington ranks 20th in points off turnovers allowed (18.1 per game).
  • Toronto ranks 4 in points in the paint per game (54) while Washington ranks 14 (46.94117647058823).
  • The Raptors rank third in fast break points per game (18.7) while the Wizards rank 21st in fast break points allowed per game (14.8).
  • The Raptors rank 11 in second chance points per game (14.31578947368421) while the Wizards rank 24 in second chance points allowed per game (15.235294117647058).
  • Toronto ranks 5 in steals per game (8.894736842105264) while Washington ranks 10 (8.352941176470589).
  • Toronto ranks eighth in rebounds per game (47.1) while Washington ranks 26th (41.2).
  • In games where they allow under 100 points, Washington is 2-0 and Toronto is 3-0.
  • The Raptors are 14-4 when they score over 100 points, while the Wizards are 6-10.
  • Toronto is 4-5 ATS at home, while Washington is 2-6 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 7 of the Raptors’ 9 home games, while 5 of the Wizards’ 8 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Wizards are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Raptors are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Washington has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Toronto has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Wizards have outscored opponents by an average of 3.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Washington has been defeated by an average of 5.2 points.
  • During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 111.8 points per game (4.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 102.2 points per game (5.3 below their season average).