Washington Wizards at Brooklyn Nets ATS Prediction

Victor TrejosBasketball, NBA

The Brooklyn Nets (11-18) will be 1.5-point favorites at home in the Barclays Center when they take on the Washington Wizards (11-17). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 226.5 points and it is scheduled to start at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, December 14, 2018.

Washington Wizards at Brooklyn Nets Betting Odds

The last time the Nets played, they narrowly defeated the Philadelphia 76ers, 127-124, as 6-point underdogs. The Wizards, on the other hand, were beat by the Boston Celtics, 130-125, and were not able to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Brooklyn game went 26.5 points over the projected point total of 224.5, while the Washington game finished 35 points over the projected point total of 220.

The Nets knocked down 37 of their 43 free throws (86.0 percent) and had a better turnover percentage (14.7 vs. 14.8). Washington, on the other hand, had an effective field goal percentage of 0.571 (above their season average of 0.518). Spencer Dinwiddie had a good game for Brooklyn, contributing 39 points and five assists. Washington, meanwhile, rallied around John Wall, who put up 34 points, 13 assists and six rebounds.

The Wizards won the most recent matchup by 14 points to even the season series at one. Wall was the game’s leading scorer with 30 points. Washington’s 0.570 effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Brooklyn, who had a mark of 0.420. The two teams combined for 190 points, which was well under the projected point total of 228.5, and Washington covered as a 6-point favorite.

Vegas has a tendency to place the total low when the Wizards are involved, as 60.7 percent of their contests have gone over the O/U total. Washington heads into the contest with records of 11-17 straight up (SU) and 10-17-1 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Washington, a little over half of Nets games have finished under the total. Moreover, Brooklyn owns records of 11-18 SU and 14-15 ATS.

The Wizards’ Bradley Beal has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 28 points,4.8 assists,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Dinwiddie has averaged 17 points,5.6 assists during that same time frame for the Nets.

It could be a mistake-prone game for the Brooklyn offense. Brooklyn ranks 17th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.0 percent), while the gambling defense of Washington forces the fifth-most turnovers in the NBA (15.2 percent).

Washington Wizards at Brooklyn Nets Free Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Nets average 45.206896551724135 rebounds per game, which ranks 16 in the league. The Wizards rank 28 in rebounds allowed per game (48.642857142857146).
  • Washington ranks sixth in blocks per game (5.8) while Brooklyn ranks 29th (3.9).
  • The Wizards rank seventh in points off turnovers per game (18.6) while the Nets rank 26th (15.0).
  • Washington ranks 10th in fast break points per game (14.8) while Brooklyn ranks 29th (9.4).
  • Washington ranks 9 in steals per game (8.5) while Brooklyn ranks 25 (6.827586206896552).
  • The Nets rank first in three pointers allowed per game (26.1) while the Wizards rank 21st (32.6).
  • The Nets average 14.068965517241379 second chance points per game, which ranks 10 in the league. The Wizards rank 27 in second chance points allowed per game (15.392857142857142).
  • Washington ranks 13 in points in the paint per game (48.357142857142854) while Brooklyn ranks 19 in points allowed in the paint per game (49.6551724137931).
  • Brooklyn ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (21.7) while Washington ranks 24th (25.3).
  • When allowing less than 100 points, Washington is 3-0 and Brooklyn is 4-1.
  • In games where they score above 100 points, the Nets are 11-14 and the Wizards are 11-15.
  • Brooklyn is 5-9 ATS at home, while Washington is 4-11 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 8 of the Nets’ 14 home games, while 8 of the Wizards’ 15 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Nets are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Wizards are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Brooklyn has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Washington has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 110.8 points per game (1.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.2 points per game (1.9 below their season average).
  • The Wizards\u2019 average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.2, down from 4.8 for the season.