Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors Free Prediction

Victor TrejosBasketball, NBA

The Utah Jazz (1-0) open their home schedule at Vivint Smart Home Arena as 2-point underdogs against the Golden State Warriors (1-0). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 218 points and it will air on ESPN at 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, October 19, 2018.

Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz Betting Odds

Both teams were victorious over their last opponent. The Jazz (8.5-point favorites) defeated the Sacramento Kings 123-117, while the Warriors (12-point favorites) beat the Oklahoma City Thunder 108-100. The Utah game finished 34.5 points over the projected point total of 205.5, while the Golden State game finished 12.5 points under the projected point total of 220.5.

The Warriors had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (34.8 vs. 28.1) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.479 vs. 0.418). Utah, on the other hand, dominated nearly every facet of their game. They had a free throw rate of 0.354 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.5. Sacramento was 0.126 and 11.4, respectively, for those same stats. Rudy Gobert played a key role for Utah with 19 points and 15 rebounds. Golden State was led by Stephen Curry, who had 32 points, nine assists and eight rebounds.

Baskets could be hard to come by in this matchup between a pair of the NBA’s best defenses. Utah ranks first in defensive efficiency (102.5) and Golden State is fifth (104.3) since the 2017-18 season. ,

Since last season, the Warriors have had records of 59-24 straight up (SU) and 51-46-3 against the spread (ATS). Just over half of Golden State games have finished under the projected point total since last season.

The Jazz, meanwhile, have records of 49-34 SU and 42-47-5 ATS since last season. A little over half of Utah’s games have finished over the projected point total over that same stretch.

The Jazz took this series last year, winning three out of four games. In the last matchup, Utah won 119-79. The Jazz’s offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Warriors. Utah had a rate of 28.6, while Golden State posted a mark of 17.6.

Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz ATS Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • The Warriors rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.7) while the Jazz rank 11th (4.7).
  • Utah ranks second in second chance points allowed per game (10.9) while Golden State ranks 28th (13.5).
  • The Warriors rank first in assists per game (28.6) while the Jazz rank 23rd (22.2).
  • Utah ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.8) while Golden State ranks 22nd (47.0).
  • Golden State averages 17.3 points off turnovers per game, which ranks fifth in the league. Utah ranks 17th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9).
  • The Jazz average 8.5 steals per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Warriors rank 28th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
  • The Jazz rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (26.6) while the Warriors rank 17th (29.9).
  • Utah ranks second in rebounds allowed per game (41.9) while Golden State ranks 10th (42.6).
  • Utah ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (10.1) while Golden State ranks 25th (13.7).
  • When allowing less than 100 points, Golden State is 23-7 and Utah is 37-7.
  • The Warriors are 71-17 when they score over 100 points, while the Jazz are 44-14.
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