Toronto Raptors vs. Portland Trail Blazers Betting Prediction

Victor TrejosBasketball, NBA

The Portland Trail Blazers (15-13) will have their chance to beat the league’s top team when they square off against the Toronto Raptors (23-7) at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter. Action starts at 10 p.m. ET on Friday, December 14, 2018.

Toronto Raptors at Portland Trail Blazers ATS Odds

The Raptors won big over the Golden State Warriors in their last outing, 113-93, despite being 8-point underdogs. The Trail Blazers, on the other hand, were beaten by the Memphis Grizzlies, 92-83, and were unable to cover as 3-point underdogs. The Toronto game went 21.5 points under the projected point total of 227.5, while the Portland game went 27 points under the projected point total of 202.

Toronto played a flawless game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 22.2 (below their season average of 23.7) and a turnover percentage of 10.0 (better than their season average of 12.2). For those same stats, Golden State was 11.6 and 17.8, respectively. Portland, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (13.0 vs. 11.5). Portland received a boost from CJ McCollum, who contributed 40 points and five rebounds. Kyle Lowry played a pivotal role for Toronto with 23 points, 12 assists and five rebounds.

The Raptors dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the most recent contest, Toronto won 130-105. Toronto out-rebounded Portland. The Raptors had 17 offensive rebounds and 42 total rebounds, while the Trail Blazers had four and 36, respectively. This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.

Raptors games have a tendency to finish over the O/U total (56.7 percent). Toronto heads into the contest with records of 23-7 straight up (SU) and 15-15 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas is highly precise when predicting totals of Trail Blazers games, with an even split between overs and unders. Further, Portland owns records of 15-13 SU and 13-15 ATS.

The offensive glass should be a major edge for Portland in this meeting. The Trail Blazers currently rank seventh in offensive rebounding percentage (25.9 percent), while Toronto ranks 24th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.3 percent). Additionally, the Raptors rank 23rd in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.186), while the Trail Blazers rank fourth in opponents’ FTA rate (0.176).

Toronto Raptors at Portland Trail Blazers Betting Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Raptors rank 7 in points in the paint per game (51.666666666666664) while the Trail Blazers rank 10 in points allowed in the paint per game (47).
  • Toronto ranks sixth in points off turnovers per game (18.9) while Portland ranks last (13.5).
  • The Raptors rank 12th in steals per game (8.4) while the Trail Blazers rank 27th (6.5).
  • Portland averages 49.1 rebounds per game, which ranks second in the league. Toronto ranks 14th in rebounds allowed per game (44.4).
  • Toronto averages 13.9 second chance points per game, which ranks 11 in the league. Portland ranks 22 in second chance points allowed per game (14.214285714285714).
  • The Raptors rank third in fast break points per game (18.3) while the Trail Blazers rank 22nd (11.2).
  • The Raptors rank 13 in blocks per game (5.5) while the Trail Blazers rank 24 in blocks allowed per game (5.857142857142857).
  • Toronto ranks 7 in three pointers attempted per game (33.6) while Portland ranks 9 in three pointers allowed per game (29.964285714285715).
  • Toronto ranks eighth in assists per game (25.5) while Portland ranks 27th (20.7).
  • When allowing under 100 points, Portland is 5-1 and Toronto is 6-0.
  • The Trail Blazers are 15-10 when they score above 100 points, while the Raptors are 22-6.
  • Toronto is 9-6 ATS on the road, while Portland is 9-5 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 8 of the Raptors’ 15 road games, while 8 of the Trail Blazers’ 14 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Raptors are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Trail Blazers are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Toronto has 4 unders and 1 over, while Portland has 5 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 110.6 points per game (5.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 100.8 points per game (6.2 below their season average).
  • The Trail Blazers\u2019 average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.0, down from 1.2 for the season.