Toronto Raptors at Dallas Mavericks Betting Prediction

Victor TrejosBasketball, NBA

The and 11.5-point favorite Toronto Raptors (5-0) look to remain unbeaten when they square off with the Dallas Mavericks (2-2) at Scotiabank Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 226.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southwest at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, October 26, 2018.

Dallas Mavericks at Toronto Raptors Betting Odds

Neither team was able to cover in their last game. The Raptors (8.5-point favorites) beat the Minnesota Timberwolves, 112-105, while the Mavericks (2-point favorites) were defeated by the Atlanta Hawks, 111-104. The Toronto game went 9 points under the projected point total of 226, while the Dallas game finished 20.5 points under the projected point total of 235.5.

Toronto’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Minnesota. The Raptors had a rate of 0.579 (above their season average of 0.565), while the Timberwolves posted a mark of 0.495. Dallas, on the other hand, held Atlanta to an effective field goal percentage of 0.489 (below their season average of 0.565). Kawhi Leonard had a good outing for Toronto, finishing with 35 points and five rebounds. DeAndre Jordan was a key piece for Dallas with 11 points and 16 rebounds.

Toronto could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their elite offense squares off against one of the worst defenses in the NBA. Dating back to the 2017-18 season, the Raptors rank fourth in effective field goal percentage (0.541), while Dallas ranks 24th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.535). ,

Since last season, the Mavericks are 26-60 straight up (SU) and 45-40-1 against the spread (ATS). Since last season, Dallas games have finished under the O/U total 57.0 percent of the time.

The Raptors, meanwhile, have records of 64-23 SU and 51-44-2 ATS since last season. Vegas has been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Toronto games over that same time frame with 52 overs compared to 44 unders.

This was a highly contested series last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. The Raptors won the most recent contest 122-115. Toronto did a terrific job of getting and making free throws (26-31; 83.9 percent). Dallas, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (9.2 vs. 11.1).

Dallas Mavericks vs. Toronto Raptors Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • The Raptors rank sixth in assists per game (24.1) while the Mavericks rank 17th in assists allowed per game (23.6).
  • Toronto ranks second in blocks per game (6.1) while Dallas ranks 27th (3.9).
  • The Raptors rank 12th in second chance points per game (12.8) while the Mavericks rank 29th (10.6).
  • Toronto ranks ninth in fast break points per game (13.4) while Dallas ranks 25th in fast break points allowed per game (14.5).
  • Toronto ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (25.2) while Dallas ranks 15th (29.5).
  • The Raptors rank sixth in points in the paint per game (48.9) while the Mavericks rank 29th (39.2).
  • The Raptors rank 12th in points off turnovers per game (16.7) while the Mavericks rank 26th (14.9).
  • Toronto ranks fourth in rebounds allowed per game (42.2) while Dallas ranks 26th (45.5).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Dallas is 16-13 and Toronto is 30-5.
  • The Mavericks are 20-30 when they reach 100 points, while the Raptors are 62-19.
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