San Antonio Spurs at Indiana Pacers ATS Prediction

Daniel GimenezBasketball, NBA

Don’t expect a fast-paced game when the San Antonio Spurs (8-9) head to Indiana to take on the Pacers (11-7). Action begins at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, November 23, 2018, and can be seen on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana.

San Antonio Spurs at Indiana Pacers Betting Odds

Both teams lost in their last game. The Pacers (4-point underdogs) were defeated by the Charlotte Hornets, 127-109, while the Spurs (2.5-point favorites) fell to the Memphis Grizzlies, 104-103. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Indiana game finished 20.5 points over the projected point total of 215.5, while the San Antonio game went 7.5 points over the projected point total of 199.5.

San Antonio held Memphis to an offensive rebounding percentage of 10.8 (below their season average of 18.0) while Indiana had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.0 (above their season average of 19.9). Bojan Bogdanovic played well for Indiana, contributing 20 points. San Antonio, meanwhile, was led by LaMarcus Aldridge, who contributed 19 points and 11 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Domantas Sabonis led the Pacers to a 116-96 victory. He recorded a double-double with 16 points and 10 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 212 points, which was just over the projected point total of 210.5, and Indiana covered as a 2-point underdog. Indiana’s 0.626 effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over San Antonio, who had a mark of 0.437.

Of the Spurs’ 17 games, nine have finished over the O/U total. San Antonio heads into the contest with records of 8-9 straight up (SU) and 8-9 against the spread (ATS).

Pacers games have a tendency to finish under the total (55.6 percent). Indiana is 11-7 SU, but they have difficulty covering the spread (8-9-1 ATS).

Bogdanovic has been playing at a high level as of late for Indiana, averaging 19 points,1.6 steals over the last five games.

Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams battle. Indiana ranks 27th in possessions per game (99.8) and San Antonio is 26th (100.9). Additionally, the Spurs rank first in turnover percentage (11.8 percent), while the Pacers rank third in opponents’ turnover percentage (15.9 percent).

San Antonio Spurs at Indiana Pacers Free Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Pacers average 23.27777777777778 assists per game, which ranks 13 in the league. The Spurs rank 15 in assists allowed per game (23.58823529411765).
  • Indiana ranks second in points off turnovers per game (21.2) while San Antonio ranks 27th (14.8).
  • The Pacers rank 12th in fast break points per game (14.7) while the Spurs rank last (8.7).
  • Indiana ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (39.7) while San Antonio ranks 18th (49.1).
  • Indiana ranks 1 in second chance points allowed per game (10.277777777777779) while San Antonio ranks 10 (12.470588235294118).
  • The Pacers rank fourth in steals per game (8.9) while the Spurs rank 28th (6.2).
  • The Pacers rank 2 in rebounds allowed per game (41.388888888888886) while the Spurs rank 17 (45.35294117647059).
  • Neither of these teams shoot many long balls. Indiana is 28 in the league with 25.5 three pointers per game while San Antonio is 29 with 24.647058823529413 threes per game.
  • San Antonio ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.7) while Indiana ranks 23rd (6.0).
  • In games where they allow less than 100 points, San Antonio is 4-1 and Indiana is 5-1.
  • The Spurs are 7-5 when they score above 100 points, while the Pacers are 9-3.
  • Indiana is 5-4 ATS at home, while San Antonio is 3-5 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 7 of the Pacers’ 9 home games, while 4 of the Spurs’ 8 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, San Antonio and Indiana are both 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Spurs’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.6, up from 0.9 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 105.8 points per game (0.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.2 points per game (0.8 above their season average).