The league’s top shooting defense will be a 1.5-point favorite on the road at Target Center, when the Portland Trail Blazers (10-4) clash with the Minnesota Timberwolves (6-9). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 223 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – North at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, November 16, 2018.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Odds
The Timberwolves beat the New Orleans Pelicans in their last contest, 107-100, despite being 2-point underdogs. The Trail Blazers, on the other hand, were defeated by the Los Angeles Lakers, 126-117, and failed to cover as 2-point underdogs. The Minnesota game went 25.5 points under the projected point total of 232.5, while the Portland game went 20 points over the projected point total of 223.
Minnesota dominated every stat category in the contest. They had a free throw rate of 0.211 (below their season average of 0.224) and a turnover percentage of 13.0 (worse than their season average of 11.6). For those same stats, New Orleans was 0.117 and 15.0, respectively. Portland, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (22.9 vs. 23.4). Karl-Anthony Towns played well for Minnesota with 25 points and 16 rebounds. Meanwhile, Portland was led by Damian Lillard, who had 31 points, 11 assists and eight rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Nurkic led the Trail Blazers to a 111-81 victory. He recorded a double-double with 19 points and 12 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 192 points, which was well under the projected point total of 228, and Portland covered as a 6-point favorite. The Trail Blazers’ 40.5 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Timberwolves, who had a mark of 21.0.
Vegas has been spot on when setting the O/U total of Trail Blazers games, with an even split between overs and unders. Portland comes into the contest with records of 10-4 straight up (SU) and 10-4 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas is known to place the total high when the Timberwolves are involved, as nine of their 14 games have ended under the total. Moreover, Minnesota owns records of 6-9 SU and 7-8 ATS.
The Trail Blazers’ Jusuf Nurkic has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 15.8 points, 12.0 rebounds and 1.4 blocks per game. Meanwhile, Towns has averaged 24.0 points, 13.2 rebounds and 2.0 blocks during that same time frame for the Timberwolves.
Minnesota might have trouble finding the bottom of the net as they square off against one of the league’s best defenses. Portland ranks ninth in defensive efficiency, while the Timberwolves rank 19th in offensive efficiency. Moreover, the Trail Blazers, who rank fourth in offensive rebounding percentage (26.7 percent), will try to take advantage of the Timberwolves, who rank 30th in defensive rebounding percentage (69.9 percent).
Trail Blazers at Timberwolves Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Under