Portland Trail Blazers at Miami Heat Betting Prediction 10/27/18

betdsiBasketball, NBA

The Portland Trail Blazers (3-1) will travel to AmericanAirlines Arena to clash with the Miami Heat (2-2). The Heat opened as 1-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 221 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Seattle at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, October 27, 2018.

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Miami Heat Betting Odds

Both teams easily covered as favorites in their last outing. The Heat (8-point favorites) defeated the New York Knicks 110-87, while the Trail Blazers (3.5-point favorites) beat the Orlando Magic 128-114. The Miami game finished 21 points under the projected point total of 218, while the Portland game went 28.5 points over the projected point total of 213.5.

Portland dominated every facet of the game. They had a superb turnover percentage of 9.2 (better than their season average of 12.6) and a free throw rate of 0.241 (above their season average of 0.240). For those same stats, Orlando was 12.9 and 0.186, respectively. Meanwhile, Miami’s free throw rate was their largest advantage over New York. The Heat had a rate of 0.235 (above their season average of 0.212), while the Knicks posted a mark of 0.099 (below their season average of 0.188). Hassan Whiteside had a good game for Miami, recording 22 points and 14 rebounds. Meanwhile, Portland was lifted by Damian Lillard, who finished with 41 points, seven rebounds and six assists.

The offense of Miami will face off against the elite defense of Portland. Since last season, the Heat rank 22nd in offensive efficiency, while the Trail Blazers are eighth in defensive efficiency. The Trail Blazers should have the edge on that side of the ball. ,

The Trail Blazers have had records of 52-34 straight up (SU) and 44-46 against the spread (ATS) since last season. Since last season, Portland games have gone over the O/U total 56.7 percent of the time.

The Heat, meanwhile, have records of 46-40 SU and 51-35 ATS since last season. Vegas has been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Miami games over that same stretch with 46 unders compared to 40 overs.

The Trail Blazers dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the most recent game, Portland won 115-99. Portland made good use of their 30 trips to the free throw line, making 25 of them (83.3 percent). Miami, meanwhile, was just 11-16 (68.8 percent).

Portland Trail Blazers at Miami Heat Betting Pick

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NBA Tip: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • The Trail Blazers rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (26.7) while the Heat rank sixth (27.1).
  • Miami averages 5.4 blocks per game, which ranks fifth in the league. Portland ranks 24th in blocks allowed per game (5.2).
  • The Trail Blazers rank third in rebounds per game (45.7) while the Heat rank 18th (43.7).
  • Miami ranks 15th in assists per game (22.7) while Portland ranks last (19.6).
  • Portland ranks fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.1) while Miami ranks seventh (43.6).
  • The Trail Blazers rank sixth in second chance points per game (13.7) while the Heat rank 25th (11.2).
  • The Heat are 26th in the league with 9.7 fast break points per game while the Trail Blazers are last with 8.6 fast break points per game.
  • Miami ranks 14th in points off turnovers per game (16.5) while Portland ranks 29th (14.2).
  • Portland is 26-8 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Miami is 28-6.
  • In games where they reach the century mark, the Heat are 35-23 and the Trail Blazers are 47-22.
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