The Oklahoma City Thunder (3-4) will travel to Capital One Arena to square off against the Washington Wizards (1-6). The Thunder opened as 3-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 231.5 points and it will air on ESPN at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, November 2, 2018.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Washington Wizards ATS Odds
The Thunder come in on a high note after beating the Charlotte Hornets in their last contest, 111-107, as 3.5-point underdogs. The Wizards, meanwhile, were defeated by the Memphis Grizzlies, 107-95, and failed to cover as 1-point underdogs. The Oklahoma City game finished 10.5 points under the projected point total of 228.5, while the Washington game finished 18.5 points under the projected point total of 220.5.
Oklahoma City played a flawless game. They had a fantastically low turnover percentage of 8.4 (better than their season average of 12.3) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.9 (below their season average of 27.9). Charlotte was 14.2 and 23.9, respectively, for those same stats. Washington, meanwhile, was lights out from beyond the arc (14-35; 40.0 percent). John Wall was a key piece for Washington with 22 points, seven assists and five rebounds. Russell Westbrook, meanwhile played well for Oklahoma City, recording 29 points, 10 assists and eight rebounds.
This series was highly competitive last year, as the teams split their two games last season. The Wizards won the most recent contest 102-96. The Wizards’ 10.5 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Thunder, who had a mark of 17.4.
It’s tough to find a trend for Thunder games in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Oklahoma City holds records of 3-4 straight up (SU) and 2-4 against the spread (ATS).
Games featuring the Wizards have typically finished over the projected point total (71.4 percent). Further, Washington is 1-6 SU and 1-6 ATS.
It could be a mistake-prone game for the Washington offense. Since last season, Washington ranks 19th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.0 percent), while the disruptive defense of Oklahoma City has forced the most turnovers in the league (15.4 percent).
Thunder at Wizards Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
- The Thunder rank 17th in points in the paint per game (44.1) while the Wizards rank 19th in points allowed in the paint per game (46.0).
- Oklahoma City ranks first in second chance points per game (15.2) while Washington ranks 24th in second chance points allowed per game (13.3).
- The Thunder average 9.2 steals per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Wizards rank 18th in steals allowed per game (7.8).
- Oklahoma City ranks fifth in rebounds per game (45.2) while Washington ranks 21st (42.8).
- Oklahoma City ranks 11th in three pointers attempted per game (30.3) while Washington ranks 15th in three pointers allowed per game (29.3).
- The Wizards rank fifth in assists per game (24.8) while the Thunder rank 28th (20.9).
- The Thunder rank fourth in fast break points per game (15.2) while the Wizards rank 14th in fast break points allowed per game (11.9).
- Oklahoma City averages 5.1 blocks per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Washington ranks 11th in blocks allowed per game (4.8).
- Oklahoma City ranks first in points off turnovers per game (19.1) while Washington ranks 19th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.1).
- In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Oklahoma City is 23-6 and Washington is 20-4.
- The Thunder are 49-21 when they score over 100 points, while the Wizards are 43-27.
