New York Knicks vs. New Orleans Pelicans Free Prediction

Daniel GimenezBasketball, NBA

The New Orleans Pelicans (7-7) will be 10-point favorites at home in the Smoothie King Center when they clash against the New York Knicks (4-11). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 227 points and it will air on Fox Sports – New Orleans at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, November 16, 2018

New York Knicks at New Orleans Pelicans ATS Odds

Both teams lost in their last matchup. The Knicks (8.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 128-103, while the Pelicans (2-point favorites) fell to the Minnesota Timberwolves, 107-100. The New York game finished 18 points over the projected point total of 213, while the New Orleans game went 25.5 points under the projected point total of 232.5

New York did a great job of making free throws (18-23; 78.3 percent) while New Orleans had a better effective field goal percentage (0.473 vs. 0.489). New Orleans was led by Anthony Davis, who contributed 29 points and 11 rebounds. Enes Kanter, meanwhile played a key role for New York with 19 points and five rebounds

This series was highly competitive last year, as the teams split their two games last season. In the most recent contest, the Pelicans won 123-118. One of New Orleans’ largest advantages was getting to the charity stripe. They had 34 free throw attempts, while New York had just 18. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Knicks games, with 8 unders compared to 7 overs. New York comes into the contest with records of 4-11 straight up (SU) and 7-7-1 against the spread (ATS)

Of the Pelicans’ 14 games, seven have finished over the total. Further, New Orleans owns records of 7-7 SU and 6-8 ATS

The Knicks’ Kanter has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 17.8 points and 15.4 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, Jrue Holiday has averaged 23.2 points, 10.8 assists, 5.4 rebounds and 1.2 steals during that same time frame for the Pelicans

The high-powered offense of New Orleans will go head-to-head against the mid-tier defense of New York. The Pelicans currently rank seventh in offensive efficiency, while the Knicks are 26th in defensive efficiency. The Pelicans should have the edge on that side of the ball. ,

New York Knicks vs. New Orleans Pelicans Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Knicks rank 21st in three pointers attempted per game (28.9) while the Pelicans rank 25th (27.5)
  • New Orleans ranks second in assists per game (26.9) while New York ranks 29th (19.0)
  • The Pelicans average 5.8 blocks per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. The Knicks rank 26th in blocks allowed per game (6.6)
  • New Orleans ranks fourth in second chance points per game (15.6) while New York ranks 20th in second chance points allowed per game (14.3)
  • New York ranks 13th in steals per game (7.7) while New Orleans ranks 20th in steals allowed per game (8.9)
  • The Pelicans average 59.6 points in the paint per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Knicks rank 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.2)
  • The Pelicans average 48.0 rebounds per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. The Knicks rank 19th in rebounds allowed per game (46.0)
  • New York ranks ninth in points off turnovers per game (18.0) while New Orleans ranks 13th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9)
  • New York ranks fifth in fast break points allowed per game (11.4) while New Orleans ranks 29th (16.6)
  • When holding opponents under 100 points, New York is 1-0 and New Orleans is 2-0
  • When scoring above 100 points, the Pelicans are 7-6 and the Knicks are 4-8
  • New Orleans is 3-3 ATS at home, while New York is 4-4 ATS on the road
  • The Knicks have 4 overs and 4 unders in 8 road games
  • The Pelicans have 3 unders, 2 overs and 1 push in 6 home games
  • Bettings Trends:

  • The Pelicans are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Knicks are 1-4
  • In their last five games, New Orleans has 3 unders and 2 overs, while New York has 3 overs and 2 unders
  • The Pelicans’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.4, up from 1.2 for the season
  • During their last five games, the Knicks have scored an average of 106.2 points per game (0.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 118.8 points per game (6.1 above their season average).