New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks Free Prediction

Daniel GimenezBasketball, NBA

The Dallas Mavericks (2-6) welcome the New York Knicks (2-6) to American Airlines Center. The Mavericks are 6-point favorites and look to snap their five-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 215 points and it will air on MSG Network at 8:30 p.m. ET on Friday, November 2, 2018.

New York Knicks vs. Dallas Mavericks ATS Odds

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Both teams were beaten in their last matchup. The Mavericks (7.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Los Angeles Lakers, 114-113, while the Knicks (6-point underdogs) fell to the Indiana Pacers, 107-101. The Dallas game went 7 points under the projected point total of 234, while the New York game went 0.5 points under the projected point total of 208.5.

New York did an excellent job of making free throws (21-24; 87.5 percent) while Dallas had a better offensive rebounding percentage (24.4 vs. 21.1). J.J. Barea played well for Dallas with 15 points and 10 assists. New York rallied around Tim Hardaway Jr. who finished with 37 points.

This was a highly competitive series last year, as the teams split their two games last season. In the last matchup, the Mavericks won 110-97. Dallas did an excellent job of making free throws (16-18; 88.9 percent). New York, meanwhile, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.537 vs. 0.528).

Of the Knicks’ eight games, five have finished under the total. Although New York has trouble winning games straight up (2-6 SU), they are 5-2-1 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike New York, games featuring the Mavericks have a tendency to finish over the total (62.5 percent). Dallas is 5-3 ATS, despite being 2-6 SU.

Dallas should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Dating back to the 2017-18 season, Dallas ranks third in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.3 percent), while New York has forced the eighth-fewest turnovers (13.2 percent). Moreover, the Knicks rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (24.1 percent), while the Mavericks rank fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.1 percent).

Knicks at Mavericks Betting Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • The Mavericks rank 14th in assists per game (22.8) while the Knicks rank 21st in assists allowed per game (23.9).
  • Dallas ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (33.1) while New York ranks 29th (24.0).
  • The Mavericks rank first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.1) while the Knicks rank 21st (17.3).
  • New York ranks eighth in fast break points allowed per game (11.2) while Dallas ranks 27th (14.6).
  • New York ranks 15th in rebounds per game (43.9) while Dallas ranks 27th (41.5).
  • The Knicks rank ninth in points in the paint per game (46.3) while the Mavericks rank last (39.8).
  • The Knicks rank 14th in blocks per game (4.9) while the Mavericks rank 27th (3.9).
  • Dallas ranks 24th in steals per game (7.0) while New York ranks 28th (6.8).
  • New York ranks seventh in second chance points per game (13.5) while Dallas ranks 28th (10.8).
  • New York is 16-4 when they allow under 100 points, while Dallas is 16-13.
  • When reaching 100 points, the Knicks are 30-35 and the Mavericks are 20-34.