Toronto Raptors vs. Atlanta Hawks ATS Prediction 02/07/19

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The Atlanta Hawks (18-35) will be at home in State Farm Arena when they meet the Toronto Raptors (39-16). The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 7, 2019, and will air on Fox Sports – Southeast.

Toronto Raptors at Atlanta Hawks Betting Odds

Both teams covered in their last outing. The Hawks (6.5-point underdogs) defeated the Washington Wizards 137-129, while the Raptors (2.5-point underdog) beat the Philadelphia 76ers 119-107. The Atlanta game went 36 points over the projected point total of 230, while the Toronto game finished 3.5 points under the projected point total of 229.5.

Toronto played a nearly perfect game. They had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 34.1 (above their season average of 23.3) and a turnover percentage of 8.8 (better than their season average of 11.8). Philadelphia put up marks of 15.6 and 17.0, respectively, for those same stats. Atlanta, on the other hand, played a nearly perfect game. They had a fantastic offensive rebounding percentage of 34.1 (above their season average of 25.3) and a free throw rate of 0.272 (above their season average of 0.193). Washington was 26.5 and 0.216, respectively, for those same stats. Atlanta’s John Collins led the way, contributing 15 points and 11 rebounds. Meanwhile, Serge Ibaka was a key piece for Toronto with 20 points and 10 rebounds.

In their two matchups this year, the Raptors have won both. The two teams combined to put up 205 points in their most recent game, which was well under the projected point total of 228.5. Toronto won 104-101 but was unable to cover as a 14-point favorite. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Toronto’s largest strengths. They made 27 trips to the line, while Atlanta went 16 times. Kawhi Leonard was the game’s top overall scorer with 31 points.

Raptors games have finished over the projected point total 54.5 percent of the time. Toronto heads into the contest with records of 39-16 straight up (SU) and 25-29-1 against the spread (ATS).

Games involving the Hawks have typically finished over the O/U total (56.6 percent). Additionally, Atlanta is 18-35 SU and 24-29 ATS.

The Raptors’ Ibaka has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 15 points,11.6 rebounds,1.8 blocks per game. Meanwhile, Trae Young has averaged 27 points,8.2 assists during that same time frame for the Hawks.

The offense of Atlanta (26th in the league with an offensive efficiency of 104.2) will clash against the elite defense of Toronto (sixth in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 105.2). The Raptors should have the advantage on that end of the court.

Toronto Raptors vs. Atlanta Hawks ATS Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Hawks, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Raptors average 33.1 three pointers per game, which ranks 12th in the league. The Hawks rank 22nd in three pointers allowed per game (32.9).
  • Toronto averages 18.1 fast break points per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Atlanta ranks last in fast break points allowed per game (17.9).
  • The Raptors rank 10th in second chance points per game (13.7) while the Hawks rank 28th in second chance points allowed per game (14.7).
  • Toronto ranks 13th in assists allowed per game (24.2) while Atlanta ranks last (27.5).
  • Toronto averages 50.0 points in the paint per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. Atlanta ranks 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (50.0).
  • The Raptors rank sixth in points off turnovers per game (18.3) while the Hawks rank 29th in points off turnovers allowed per game (22.8).
  • The Raptors rank 11th in blocks per game (5.3) while the Hawks rank 23rd in blocks allowed per game (5.5).
  • Atlanta averages 45.5 rebounds per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. Toronto ranks 15th in rebounds allowed per game (44.5).
  • Toronto averages 8.5 steals per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Atlanta ranks 29th in steals allowed per game (10.6).
  • Toronto is 9-1 when they allow below 100 points, while Atlanta is 3-2.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Hawks are 17-28 and the Raptors are 36-12.
  • Toronto is 12-15-1 ATS on the road, while Atlanta is 7-14 ATS at home.
  • The Raptors have 16 overs and 12 unders in 28 road games.
  • Of the Hawks’ 21 home games, they have 12 overs, 8 unders and 1 push.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Hawks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Raptors are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Atlanta has 4 overs and 1 under, while Toronto has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 120.6 points per game (9.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 124.4 points per game (6.2 above their season average).
  • The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.6, down from 5.4 for the season.