San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets Betting Prediction 12/28/18

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A seven-game home winning streak is on the line for the Denver Nuggets (21-11), who will be 3.5-point favorites when they meet the San Antonio Spurs (19-16) at Pepsi Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 214 points and it will air on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, December 28, 2018.

San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets Betting Odds

In their first matchup this season, DeRozan led the Spurs to a 111-103 win. He scored a game-high 30 points. The two teams combined to put up 214 points, which was just under the projected point total of 216, and San Antonio covered as a 4-point favorite. The Spurs’ 9.1 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Nuggets, who had a rate of 10.7.

A little over half of the Spurs’ games have finished over the projected point total. San Antonio heads into the contest with records of 19-16 straight up (SU) and 19-15-1 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Nuggets’ 32 games, 19 have finished under the total. Moreover, Denver is 21-11 SU and 19-13 ATS.

Monte Morris has been playing at a high level recently for Denver, averaging 15 points,5.0 assists,1.6 steals over the last five games.

Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams battle. Denver currently ranks 24th in possessions per game (100.7) and San Antonio is 26th (100.1).

Spurs vs. Nuggets Free Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Nuggets rank 2 in rebounds allowed per game (42.5625) while the Spurs rank 9 (43.91428571428571).
  • Denver ranks second in second chance points per game (15.3) while San Antonio ranks 26th (11.9).
  • The Spurs rank fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while the Nuggets rank 21st (5.6).
  • Denver averages 26.8 assists per game, which ranks fourth in the league. San Antonio ranks 21st in assists allowed per game (24.4).
  • Denver ranks 16 in fast break points per game (12.34375) while San Antonio ranks 27 (9.914285714285715).
  • The Nuggets rank sixth in points in the paint per game (51.9) while the Spurs rank 26th (43.5).
  • The Nuggets rank 19 in three pointers attempted per game (30.25) while the Spurs rank last (24.285714285714285).
  • Denver ranks 22 in points off turnovers per game (15.78125) while San Antonio ranks 28 (14.257142857142856).
  • Denver ranks 10th in steals per game (8.6) while San Antonio ranks 28th (5.9).
  • Denver is 12-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while San Antonio is 10-2.
  • In games where they score above 100 points, the Nuggets are 20-7 and the Spurs are 18-10.
  • Denver is 12-4 ATS at home, while San Antonio is 6-9-1 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 10 of the Spurs’ 16 road games, while 9 of the Nuggets’ 16 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, San Antonio and Denver have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Spurs are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Nuggets are 3-2.
  • During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 117.6 points per game (6.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 99.0 points per game (10.3 below their season average).
  • The Nuggets have been outscored by an average of 0.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Denver has defeated opponents by an average of 5.3 points.