The Portland Trail Blazers (52-29) welcome the Sacramento Kings (39-42) to Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to commence Western Conference play. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, April 10, 2019, and will air on NBC Sports – California.
Sacramento Kings vs. Portland Trail Blazers Betting Odds
In the Trail Blazers’ previous matchup, they barely escaped the Los Angeles Lakers, 104-101, despite being 8.5-point underdogs. The Kings, on the other hand, were topped by the New Orleans Pelicans, 133-129, and were not able to cover as 12-point underdogs. The Portland game went 14.5 points under the projected point total of 219.5, while the Sacramento game went 29.5 points over the projected point total of 232.5.
The Trail Blazers knocked down 19 of their 22 free throws (86.4 percent), while the Lakers had a turnover percentage of 14.3 (above the 10.6 mark opponents have averaged against Portland this season). Sacramento, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 4.9 (better than their season average of 11.2). Portland’s Enes Kanter had a good game, recording 22 points and 16 rebounds. De’Aaron Fox played a pivotal role for Sacramento with 24 points, 11 assists and six rebounds.
The Kings won the most recent matchup by eight points to even the season series at one. Damian Lillard was the game’s top overall scorer with 35 points. Sacramento had a better effective field goal percentage (0.552 vs. 0.457). Portland, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (31.5 vs. 25.6). Sacramento covered as a 2-point favorite and the two teams combined for 222 points, which was under the projected point total of 228.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Kings games, with 41 unders compared to 39 overs. Sacramento comes into the contest with records of 39-42 straight up (SU) and 45-35-1 against the spread (ATS).
In opposition of Sacramento, games involving the Trail Blazers have a slight tendency to go over the O/U total (52.5 percent). Additionally, Portland owns records of 52-29 SU and 44-36 ATS.
Portland could own the offensive glass in this matchup. The Trail Blazers currently rank second in offensive rebounding percentage (26.5 percent), while Sacramento ranks 26th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.6 percent). The Kings should have an edge in terms of ball security. They rank 5th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.3 percent), while the Trail Blazers force the first-fewest turnovers in the league (opponents’ turnover percentage of 11.7 percent).
Sacramento Kings at Portland Trail Blazers Odds Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Trail Blazers average 49.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks 14th in the league. The Kings rank 23rd in points allowed in the paint per game (51.2).
- Portland ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (29.6) while Sacramento ranks 29th (34.7).
- The Kings rank first in fast break points per game (21.1) while the Trail Blazers rank 24th (11.1).
- Portland averages 15.0 second chance points per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 25th in second chance points allowed per game (14.3).
- Portland ranks third in assists allowed per game (23.2) while Sacramento ranks 19th (24.8).
- The Trail Blazers rank second in rebounds allowed per game (42.9) while the Kings rank 28th (48.0).
- The Kings rank ninth in steals per game (8.3) while the Trail Blazers rank 25th (6.7).
- Portland ranks 15th in blocks per game (5.1) while Sacramento ranks 18th in blocks allowed per game (5.2).
- Sacramento ranks second in points off turnovers per game (19.3) while Portland ranks 25th (15.0).
- In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Portland is 14-2 and Sacramento is 10-0.
- When reaching the century mark, the Kings are 37-37 and the Trail Blazers are 50-23.
- Portland is 23-17 ATS at home, while Sacramento is 20-20 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 22 of the Kings’ 40 road games, while 23 of the Trail Blazers’ 40 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Sacramento and Portland are both 2-3 ATS.
- The Kings have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Trail Blazers have 3 overs and 2 unders
- During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 112.4 points per game (1.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 118.4 points per game (3.4 above their season average).
- The Trail Blazers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.6, up from 4.2 for the season.
