Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs ATS Prediction 01/10/19

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The San Antonio Spurs (24-18) and their phenomenal offense will be 1-point underdogs when they welcome the Oklahoma City Thunder (25-15) and their exceptional defense. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 224.5 points and it will air on TNT at 9:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 10, 2019.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs ATS Odds

In their last outing, the Thunder (8.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Minnesota Timberwolves, 119-117, while the Spurs (2.5-point favorites) fell to the Memphis Grizzlies, 96-86. The Oklahoma City game finished 7 points over the projected point total of 229, while the San Antonio game went 32.5 points under the projected point total of 214.5.

Oklahoma City was lights out from beyond the arc (12-30; 40.0 percent) while San Antonio had a better free throw rate (0.181 vs. 0.156). San Antonio rallied around LaMarcus Aldridge, who contributed 13 points and seven rebounds. Russell Westbrook, meanwhile had a good outing for Oklahoma City, putting up 25 points, 16 assists and five rebounds.

This series was highly contested last year, as the teams split their four games last season. The Spurs won the last game 103-99. Getting to the free throw line was one of San Antonio’s biggest strengths. They had 30 free throw attempts, while Oklahoma City had 21. This is the first time these teams will meet this year.

Of the Thunder’s 40 games, 22 have finished under the total. Oklahoma City heads into the contest with records of 25-15 straight up (SU) and 22-18 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Oklahoma City, games including the Spurs have typically gone over the projected point total (56.1 percent). Further, San Antonio is 24-18 SU and 25-15-1 ATS.

This matchup pits one of the NBA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. San Antonio ranks fifth in offensive efficiency and Oklahoma City ranks first in defensive efficiency. It will also be a matchup of contrasting styles as the aggressively-paced Thunder rank fourth in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Spurs rank 27th.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs Betting Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Thunder rank 20th in three pointers attempted per game (29.9) while the Spurs rank last (24.3).
  • Oklahoma City ranks first in steals per game (10.3) while San Antonio ranks last (6.2).
  • The Thunder rank fourth in points in the paint per game (53.5) while the Spurs rank 25th (43.5).
  • Oklahoma City ranks eighth in blocks per game (5.5) while San Antonio ranks 26th (4.3).
  • Oklahoma City ranks second in rebounds per game (48.5) while San Antonio ranks 17th (44.5).
  • The Thunder rank second in points off turnovers per game (20.5) while the Spurs rank 27th (14.8).
  • The Thunder rank fifth in fast break points per game (17.2) while the Spurs rank 22nd (10.7).
  • Oklahoma City ranks fourth in second chance points per game (14.9) while San Antonio ranks 27th (11.5).
  • In games where they allow below 100 points, Oklahoma City is 6-0 and San Antonio is 11-3.
  • When reaching 100 points, the Spurs are 23-10 and the Thunder are 23-9.
  • San Antonio is 16-6 ATS at home, while Oklahoma City is 12-9 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 11 of the Spurs’ 22 home games, while 15 of the Thunder’s 21 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Spurs are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Thunder are 3-2.
  • In their last five games, San Antonio has 4 overs and 1 under, while Oklahoma City has 3 unders, 1 over and 1 push.
  • The Spurs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.8, up from 3.0 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 111.0 points per game (0.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.2 points per game (3.1 above their season average).