Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets ATS Prediction 04/10/19

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The Denver Nuggets (53-28) welcome the Minnesota Timberwolves (36-45) to Pepsi Center to get their Western Conference schedules going. The game can be seen on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt at 10:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, April 10, 2019.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets Betting Odds

Both teams did not cover as underdogs in their last game. The Timberwolves (6.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Toronto Raptors, 120-100, while the Nuggets (8.5-point underdogs) fell to the Utah Jazz, 118-108. The Minnesota game finished 9.5 points under the projected point total of 229.5, while the Denver game finished 6.5 points over the projected point total of 219.5.

Minnesota forced Toronto into a turnover percentage of 15.9 (above their season average of 11.8) while Denver had a much better turnover percentage (6.7 vs. 13.9). Denver was lifted by Monte Morris, who had 22 points. Gorgui Dieng had a good outing for Minnesota, finishing with 16 points, seven rebounds and five assists.

The Nuggets have won all three contests against the Timberwolves this year. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to score 240 points, which was over the projected point total of 227. Denver won 133-107, covering as a 10-point favorite. Denver made 18 of its 30 three pointers (60.0 percent). Minnesota, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (29.3 vs. 23.3). Jamal Murray had a standout performance in the victory, putting up 30 points.

Timberwolves games have a tendency to finish over the O/U total (55.0 percent). Minnesota comes into the game with records of 36-45 straight up (SU) and 39-41 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Minnesota, Nuggets games have typically finished under the O/U total (57.5 percent). Moreover, Denver owns records of 53-28 SU and 42-38 ATS.

Denver could dominate the offensive glass in this meeting. The Nuggets are among the league’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking first in offensive rebounding percentage at 26.6 percent. Meanwhile, Minnesota ranks 27th in the league at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 74.9 percent.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Denver averages 15.6 second chance points per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Minnesota ranks 28th in second chance points allowed per game (14.8).
  • The Timberwolves rank first in steals allowed per game (6.6) while the Nuggets rank 14th (7.5).
  • Denver ranks 13th in three pointers allowed per game (31.9) while Minnesota ranks 25th (33.6).
  • The Nuggets rank second in assists per game (27.4) while the Timberwolves rank 27th in assists allowed per game (26.2).
  • The Nuggets average 52.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Timberwolves rank 14th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.9).
  • Denver ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (42.5) while Minnesota ranks 16th (45.6).
  • Denver is 24-2 when they allow below 100 points, while Minnesota is 12-0.
  • The Nuggets are 50-20 when they reach 100 points, while the Timberwolves are 35-39.
  • Minnesota is 17-23 ATS on the road, while Denver is 25-15 ATS at home.
  • Of the Timberwolves’ 40 road games, they have 20 overs and 20 unders.
  • In 40 home games, the Nuggets have 21 unders and 19 overs.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Minnesota and Denver are both 3-2 ATS.
  • The Timberwolves have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Nuggets have 3 unders and 2 overs
  • During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 113.8 points per game (1.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 120.2 points per game (6.0 above their season average).
  • The Nuggets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.2, down from 4.0 for the season.