Indiana Pacers vs. Atlanta Hawks Free Prediction 04/10/19

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The Atlanta Hawks (29-52) welcome the Indiana Pacers (47-34) to State Farm Arena to begin Eastern Conference play. Action begins at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, April 10, 2019, and can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast.

Indiana Pacers at Atlanta Hawks ATS Odds

Both teams fell in their last outing. The Hawks (11.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Milwaukee Bucks, 115-107, while the Pacers (3-point favorites) fell to the Brooklyn Nets, 108-96. The Atlanta game finished 13 points under the projected point total of 235, while the Indiana game went 16.5 points under the projected point total of 220.5.

Indiana had a better effective field goal percentage (0.541 vs. 0.517) while Atlanta had a better turnover percentage (9.2 vs. 11.7). Alex Len played a key role for Atlanta with 33 points and eight rebounds. Indiana, meanwhile, received a boost from Domantas Sabonis, who had 17 points and 12 rebounds.

In their three matchups this season, the Pacers have won all three. In their most recent game, the two teams combined for 224 points, just over the projected point total of 220. Indiana won 116-108 but was unable to cover as a 13-point favorite. One of Indiana’s largest strengths was getting to the charity stripe. They made 29 trips to the line, while Atlanta went 19 times. In the loss, John Collins recorded a double-double with 22 points and 16 rebounds.

Of the Pacers’ 81 games, 47 have gone under the O/U total. Indiana holds records of 47-34 straight up (SU) and 39-41-1 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Indiana, Hawks games have a tendency to finish over the O/U total (56.8 percent). Further, Atlanta owns records of 29-52 SU and 42-39 ATS.

Atlanta might struggle to score as they face off against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Indiana currently ranks third in defensive efficiency while the Hawks rank 24th in offensive efficiency.

Pacers vs. Hawks ATS Pick

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Hawks, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Pacers rank fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (44.7) while the Hawks rank 16th (49.3).
  • Indiana ranks third in steals per game (8.7) while Atlanta ranks last in steals allowed per game (9.9).
  • The Pacers average 26.0 assists per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. The Hawks rank last in assists allowed per game (26.9).
  • Indiana ranks third in rebounds allowed per game (43.4) while Atlanta ranks 21st (46.1).
  • Indiana ranks 13th in second chance points allowed per game (13.2) while Atlanta ranks 27th (14.5).
  • The Pacers rank third in points off turnovers per game (18.9) while the Hawks rank 29th in points off turnovers allowed per game (21.0).
  • The Pacers average 14.5 fast break points per game, which ranks 12th in the league. The Hawks rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (16.4).
  • Indiana ranks 18th in blocks per game (4.9) while Atlanta ranks 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.4).
  • Atlanta ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (37.0) while Indiana ranks 28th (25.3).
  • Indiana is 25-3 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Atlanta is 3-2.
  • The Pacers are 42-17 when they reach the century mark, while the Hawks are 28-42.
  • Atlanta is 18-22 ATS at home, while Indiana is 16-23-1 ATS on the road.
  • The Pacers have 21 unders and 19 overs in 40 road games.
  • The Hawks have 23 overs, 16 unders and 1 push in 40 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Hawks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Pacers are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Atlanta has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Indiana has 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
  • The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.2, up from 6.1 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 105.6 points per game (2.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 107.4 points per game (3.1 above their season average).