The Orlando Magic (20-31) will be 1.5-point favorites at home in the Amway Center when they square off with the Indiana Pacers (32-18). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 211 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 31, 2019.
Indiana Pacers at Orlando Magic Betting Odds
Both teams lost in their last matchup. The Magic (3.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 126-117, while the Pacers (7-point favorites) fell to the Washington Wizards, 107-89. The Orlando game finished 21.5 points over the projected point total of 221.5, while the Indiana game went 33 points under the projected point total of 229.
Indiana had a better offensive rebounding percentage (23.3 vs. 21.6) while Orlando had an offensive rebounding percentage of 32.7 (above their season average of 20.5). Orlando was led by Nikola Vucevic, who put up 27 points, 11 rebounds and five assists. Meanwhile, Thaddeus Young played a pivotal role for Indiana with 13 points, seven rebounds and five assists.
In their first matchup this year, Kyle O’Quinn led the Pacers to a 112-90 win. He registered a double-double with 12 points and 10 rebounds. Indiana covered as a 4-point underdog and the two teams combined to put up 202 points, which was just under the projected point total of 206. The Pacers’ 8.2 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Magic, who had a mark of 12.9.
Oddsmakers tend to set the total high when the Pacers are playing, as 27 of their 49 games have gone under the total. Indiana heads into the contest with records of 32-18 straight up (SU) and 24-24-1 against the spread (ATS).
Just over half of Magic games have also finished under the projected point total. Additionally, Orlando is 20-31 SU and 24-24-3 ATS.
The inefficient offense of Orlando will clash against the elite defense of Indiana. The Magic currently rank 24th in offensive efficiency, while the Pacers are fifth in defensive efficiency. The Pacers figure to have the edge on that side of the ball.
Indiana Pacers vs. Orlando Magic Odds Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Magic rank third in second chance points allowed per game (11.2) while the Pacers rank eighth (12.4).
- Indiana ranks third in points off turnovers per game (19.6) while Orlando ranks 26th (14.8).
- The Pacers rank second in rebounds allowed per game (42.7) while the Magic rank 21st (45.5).
- Indiana ranks 10th in fast break points per game (15.0) while Orlando ranks 27th (9.8).
- Orlando ranks 15th in three pointers attempted per game (31.6) while Indiana ranks 28th (25.4).
- The Pacers rank fifth in steals per game (8.8) while the Magic rank 27th (6.5).
- The Magic rank fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.5) while the Pacers rank 20th (5.3).
- Orlando averages 24.5 assists per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. Indiana ranks 17th in assists allowed per game (24.4).
- Indiana ranks 10th in points in the paint per game (49.3) while Orlando ranks 29th (42.4).
- Indiana is 16-3 when they allow less than 100 points, while Orlando is 8-3.
- The Pacers are 29-9 when they score over 100 points, while the Magic are 16-14.
- Indiana is 11-12-1 ATS on the road, while Orlando is 10-14-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 15 of the Pacers’ 24 road games, while 13 of the Magic’s 25 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Magic are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Pacers are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Orlando has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Indiana has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Magic’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.6, down from 3.6 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 104.4 points per game (3.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.2 points per game (5.3 above their season average).
