Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies Free Prediction 04/10/19

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The Memphis Grizzlies (32-49) welcome the Golden State Warriors (57-24) to FedExForum to commence Western Conference play. The game can be seen on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, April 10, 2019.

Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds

The Warriors will be hoping for similar success after topping the New Orleans Pelicans in their last outing, 112-103, as 11-point underdogs. The Grizzlies, on the other hand, were beaten by the Detroit Pistons, 100-93, and failed to cover as 1.5-point underdogs. The Golden State game went 22.5 points under the projected point total of 237.5, while the Memphis game finished 21 points under the projected point total of 214.

Golden State dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.157 (below their season average of 0.183) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.9 (above their season average of 22.5). New Orleans put up marks of 0.061 and 13.0, respectively, for those same stats. Memphis, on the other hand, held Detroit to an effective field goal percentage of 0.455 (below their season average of 0.509). Memphis’ Delon Wright had a good game, putting up 15 points and nine rebounds. DeMarcus Cousins, meanwhile played a key role for Golden State with 21 points, 12 rebounds and six assists.

In their three matchups this season, the Warriors have won all three. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to score 221 points, just over the projected point total of 220. Golden State won 118-103, covering as a 9.5-point favorite. Golden State made 15 of its 31 three pointers (48.4 percent). Memphis, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (32.2 vs. 15.8). Stephen Curry recorded a double-double with 28 points and 10 rebounds.

Of the Warriors’ 80 games that accepted bets, 43 have finished under the O/U total. Golden State is 57-24 straight up (SU), but they struggle covering the spread (35-44-1 against the spread (ATS)).

Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Grizzlies are involved, as 44 of their 80 games have ended under the total. Additionally, Memphis owns records of 32-49 SU and 37-42-1 ATS.

Memphis might have trouble finding the bottom of the net as they clash against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Golden State currently ranks ninth in defensive efficiency, while the Grizzlies rank 27th in offensive efficiency. Ball security could be troublesome for the Warriors. They rank 21st at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.4 percent), while the Grizzlies force the fourth-most turnovers in the league (opponents’ turnover percentage of 14.7 percent).

Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies Betting Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Grizzlies average 8.3 steals per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Warriors rank 18th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
  • Golden State ranks third in fast break points per game (19.1) while Memphis ranks 27th in fast break points allowed per game (16.2).
  • The Warriors rank first in assists per game (29.4) while the Grizzlies rank 18th (23.9).
  • Memphis ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.6) while Golden State ranks 19th (13.7).
  • Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while Memphis ranks 13th (4.9).
  • The Warriors rank eighth in rebounds per game (46.3) while the Grizzlies rank 27th (41.7).
  • The Grizzlies rank 10th in points off turnovers per game (17.1) while the Warriors rank 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4).
  • Memphis ranks 21st in points in the paint per game (46.4) while Golden State ranks 29th (43.2).
  • Golden State ranks eighth in three pointers attempted per game (34.5) while Memphis ranks 25th (28.7).
  • Golden State is 10-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Memphis is 15-7.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Grizzlies are 23-21 and the Warriors are 57-16.
  • Memphis is 21-19 ATS at home, while Golden State is 19-20 ATS on the road.
  • Of the Warriors’ 39 road games, they have 21 overs and 18 unders.
  • In 40 home games, the Grizzlies have 20 unders, 19 overs and 1 push.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Warriors are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Grizzlies are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Golden State has 4 unders and 1 over, while Memphis has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 117.4 points per game (0.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 102.6 points per game (8.4 below their season average).
  • The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.6, up from 2.8 for the season.