Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns Free Prediction 02/08/19

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The league’s top scoring team will be on the road at Talking Stick Resort Arena, when the Golden State Warriors (38-15) go head-to-head with the Phoenix Suns (11-45). Action gets underway at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, February 8, 2019, and can be seen on NBC Sports – Bay Area.

Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns Betting Odds

The Warriors come in on a high note after comfortably covering the 15.5-point spread against the San Antonio Spurs in their last contest, 141-102. The Suns, on the other hand, were dismantled by the Utah Jazz, 116-88, and failed to cover as 15-point underdogs. The Golden State game went 11 points over the projected point total of 232, while the Phoenix game went 13 points under the projected point total of 217.

Golden State played a nearly perfect game. They had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 35.0 (above their season average of 23.2) and a turnover percentage of 9.5 (better than their season average of 12.1). For those same stats, San Antonio had marks of 9.5 and 16.6, respectively. Phoenix, meanwhile, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.487 vs. 0.565). Josh Jackson had a solid performance for Phoenix, contributing 27 points, seven assists and five steals. Meanwhile, Golden State received a boost from Kevin Durant, who recorded 23 points, nine assists and eight rebounds.

In their two contests this year, the Warriors have won both. The two teams combined to put up 241 points in their most recent game, which was over the projected point total of 231. Golden State won 132-109, covering as a 10-point favorite. Golden State’s 0.631 effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Phoenix, who had a rate of 0.488. In the victory, Stephen Curry led all scorers with 34 points.

Warriors games have a slight tendency to go over the total (54.7 percent). Golden State holds records of 38-15 straight up (SU) and 24-28-1 against the spread (ATS).

In opposition of Golden State, Suns games have a slight tendency to finish under the total (53.6 percent). Further, Phoenix owns records of 11-45 SU and 24-32 ATS.

The Warriors’ DeMarcus Cousins has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 16 points,7.2 rebounds,4.0 assists,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Jackson has averaged 19 points,1.2 blocks during that same time frame for the Suns.

It could be a difficult game for Phoenix on the offensive glass. The Suns rank 27th in offensive rebounding percentage (20.3 percent), while Golden State ranks eighth in defensive rebounding percentage (78.2 percent). Additionally, the Warriors’ top-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 115.5) will square off against the Suns’ 29th-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 112.0).

Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns Free Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Suns rank 12th in points in the paint per game (49.0) while the Warriors rank 27th (42.9).
  • Golden State ranks second in fast break points per game (19.4) while Phoenix ranks 28th in fast break points allowed per game (15.6).
  • The Suns rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (29.4) while the Warriors rank 26th (33.4).
  • Golden State ranks 11th in steals allowed per game (7.4) while Phoenix ranks 28th (9.1).
  • Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (6.4) while Phoenix ranks 16th (5.1).
  • The Warriors rank first in assists per game (29.6) while the Suns rank 26th in assists allowed per game (25.7).
  • The Warriors average 17.1 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 13th in the league. The Suns rank 29th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.6).
  • Golden State ranks 17th in second chance points allowed per game (13.6) while Phoenix ranks last (15.2).
  • Golden State ranks seventh in rebounds per game (46.6) while Phoenix ranks last (39.8).
  • When allowing under 100 points, Golden State is 6-0 and Phoenix is 4-1.
  • The Warriors are 38-10 when they reach the century mark, while the Suns are 10-28.
  • Phoenix is 12-16 ATS at home, while Golden State is 13-13 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 16 of the Suns’ 28 home games, while 17 of the Warriors’ 26 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Golden State and Phoenix have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Warriors are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 2-3.
  • The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 16.0, up from 7.7 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 107.2 points per game (1.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 118.8 points per game (3.0 above their season average).