Detroit Pistons vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Prediction 01/10/19

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The Sacramento Kings (20-21) will be 5-point favorites at home in the Golden 1 Center when they meet the Detroit Pistons (17-22). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 224.5 points and it will air on NBC Sports – California at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 10, 2019.

Detroit Pistons at Sacramento Kings ATS Odds

Both teams lost as favorites in their last contest. The Pistons (2.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Los Angeles Lakers, 113-100, while the Kings (4-point favorites) fell to the Phoenix Suns, 115-111. Both games went 1.5 points under their projected point totals (214.5 for the Detroit game and 227.5 for the Sacramento game).

Detroit had a better turnover percentage (8.8 vs. 13.5) while Sacramento had a free throw rate of 0.250 (above their season average of 0.168). Sacramento received a boost from Willie Cauley-Stein, who recorded 15 points and seven rebounds. Andre Drummond, meanwhile played a pivotal role for Detroit with six points and 17 rebounds.

The Pistons dominated this series last year, emerging victorious in both games. In the most recent matchup, Detroit won 106-90. One of Detroit’s largest advantages was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 18-22 (81.8 percent), while the Kings were just 4-9 (44.4 percent). This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.

It’s tough to find a trend for Pistons games in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Detroit heads into the game with records of 17-22 straight up (SU) and 17-20-1 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Kings’ 41 games, 27 have finished over the total. Moreover, Sacramento owns records of 20-21 SU and 23-18 ATS.

This contest should be a matchup of opposite paces. Sacramento prefers a fast-paced style of play (third in possessions per game), while Detroit is methodical (16th in possessions per game). Moreover, the Pistons are among the league’s best on the offensive backboards, ranking fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (25.1 percent). The Kings, meanwhile, rank 27th at grabbing defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 74.9 percent.

Detroit Pistons vs. Sacramento Kings Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Kings rank 22nd in blocks per game (4.5) while the Pistons rank 28th (3.9).
  • Detroit ranks second in second chance points allowed per game (10.9) while Sacramento ranks 29th (14.7).
  • The Kings average 52.0 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Pistons rank 26th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.8).
  • Sacramento ranks first in points off turnovers per game (21.2) while Detroit ranks 21st (15.7).
  • Sacramento ranks 10th in steals per game (8.5) while Detroit ranks 25th (6.8).
  • The Kings rank first in fast break points per game (22.7) while the Pistons rank 27th (10.2).
  • The Pistons average 46.1 rebounds per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. The Kings rank last in rebounds allowed per game (48.5).
  • Sacramento ranks eighth in assists per game (25.6) while Detroit ranks 10th in assists allowed per game (23.7).
  • Detroit ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (27.8) while Sacramento ranks 28th (33.9).
  • Detroit is 4-2 when they allow below 100 points, while Sacramento is 6-0.
  • In games where they score above 100 points, the Kings are 19-19 and the Pistons are 17-14.
  • Detroit is 9-8 ATS on the road, while Sacramento is 13-8 ATS at home.
  • In 17 road games, the Pistons have 8 overs, 8 unders and 1 push.
  • Of the Kings’ 21 home games, they have 11 overs and 10 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Kings are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Pistons are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Sacramento has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Detroit has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 113.2 points per game (1.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 113.4 points per game (3.0 below their season average).
  • The Pistons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 9.2, up from 2.8 for the season.