Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs Betting Prediction 04/10/19

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The San Antonio Spurs (47-34) welcome the Dallas Mavericks (33-48) to AT&T Center to get their Western Conference schedules going. Action gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, April 10, 2019, and can be seen on KENS-TV 5.

Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs Betting Odds

Both teams covered in their last game. The Spurs (8.5-point favorites) defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 112-90, while the Mavericks (1.5-point underdog) beat the Phoenix Suns 120-109. The San Antonio game finished 17 points under the projected point total of 219, while the Dallas game went 15 points over the projected point total of 214.

Dallas dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 35.3 (above their season average of 22.6) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.538 (above their season average of 0.519). Phoenix was 9.8 and 0.506, respectively, for those same stats. The Spurs, meanwhile, had a great offensive rebounding percentage of 30.6 (above their season average of 21.0) and held the Cavaliers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.443 (below their season average of 0.503). LaMarcus Aldridge had a good outing for San Antonio with 18 points and 13 rebounds. Dallas, meanwhile, received a boost from Luka Doncic, who registered his seventh triple-double this year. He took over, racking up 21 points, 16 rebounds and 11 assists.

The Spurs have won all three contests against the Mavericks this season. The two teams combined to score 217 points in their most recent game, which was just under the projected point total of 217.5. San Antonio won 112-105, covering as a 3.5-point favorite. One of San Antonio’s biggest strengths was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 18-18 (100.0 percent), while the Mavericks were just 15-26 (57.7 percent). Jalen Brunson scored a game-high 34 points.

Of the Mavericks’ 80 games with betting action, 43 have finished under the O/U total. Dallas heads into the contest with records of 33-48 straight up (SU) and 44-34-2 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Dallas, games involving the Spurs have finished over the total 53.1 percent of the time. Moreover, San Antonio owns records of 47-34 SU and 43-36-2 ATS.

Half-court execution will be critical when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams clash. San Antonio ranks 26th in possessions per game (100.2) and Dallas is 21st (101.5). Furthermore, the Mavericks rank fourth in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.218), while the Spurs rank second in opponents’ FTA rate (0.171).

Mavericks at Spurs Odds Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Dallas ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (36.6) while San Antonio ranks 29th (25.3).
  • The Spurs rank 19th in blocks per game (4.7) while the Mavericks rank 25th (4.3).
  • San Antonio ranks fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.9) while Dallas ranks 10th (15.7).
  • Neither of these teams are great at stealing the ball. Dallas is 28th in the league with 6.5 steals per game while San Antonio is last with 6.1 steals per game.
  • The Mavericks rank 16th in fast break points per game (12.3) while the Spurs rank 28th (10.4).
  • The Mavericks rank 24th in points in the paint per game (44.7) while the Spurs rank 28th (43.2).
  • Dallas ranks 19th in second chance points per game (13.0) while San Antonio ranks 28th (11.6).
  • In games where they allow less than 100 points, Dallas is 11-4 and San Antonio is 15-3.
  • In games where they score more than 100 points, the Spurs are 46-22 and the Mavericks are 32-37.
  • San Antonio is 24-16 ATS at home, while Dallas is 21-18-1 ATS on the road.
  • In 40 road games, the Mavericks have 21 unders, 18 overs and 1 push.
  • In 40 home games, the Spurs have 22 unders and 18 overs.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Mavericks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Dallas has 3 overs and 2 unders, while San Antonio has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Mavericks have outscored opponents by an average of 4.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Dallas has been defeated by an average of 1.2 points.
  • During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 109.8 points per game (1.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 107.8 points per game (2.4 below their season average).