Atlanta Hawks vs. Milwaukee Bucks Free Prediction 01/04/19

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The NBA’s top scoring team will be 13.5-point favorites at home in Fiserv Forum, when the Milwaukee Bucks (26-10) go head-to-head against the Atlanta Hawks (11-26). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 230.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8:30 p.m. ET on Friday, January 4, 2019.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds

The Bucks easily got past the Detroit Pistons in their last matchup, 121-98, easily covering as 10-point favorites. The Hawks, meanwhile, were beat by the Washington Wizards, 114-98, and were not able to cover as 6-point underdogs. The Milwaukee game went 1 point under the projected point total of 220, while the Atlanta game went 18 points under the projected point total of 230.

The Bucks, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.549, had an extraordinary mark of 0.658 and had a free throw rate of 0.215 (above their season average of 0.191). Atlanta, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (25.5 vs. 21.3). Giannis Antetokounmpo put together a good outing for Milwaukee with 15 points, eight rebounds and seven assists. Atlanta was led by Alex Len, who contributed 24 points and 11 rebounds.

The Bucks dominated this series last year, winning all three games. In the most recent contest, Milwaukee won 122-117. The Bucks’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Hawks. Milwaukee had a rate of 10.7, while Atlanta posted a mark of 16.3. This is the first time these teams will clash this year.

Of the Hawks’ 37 games, 20 have finished over the total. Atlanta comes into the contest with records of 11-26 straight up (SU) and 16-21 against the spread (ATS).

Bucks games have no tendency in regards to the projected point total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Additionally, Milwaukee is 26-10 SU and 20-15-1 ATS.

John Collins has been solid recently for Atlanta, averaging 19 points,13.0 rebounds over the last five games.

Milwaukee could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their high-octane offense faces off against one of the NBA’s worst defenses. The Bucks rank fourth in offensive efficiency, while Atlanta ranks 25th in defensive efficiency.

Hawks at Bucks ATS Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks rank 3 in blocks per game (6.083333333333333) while the Hawks rank 17 in blocks allowed per game (5.216216216216216).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.3) while Atlanta ranks last (22.3).
  • The Bucks rank first in fast break points allowed per game (9.3) while the Hawks rank 27th (16.2).
  • Milwaukee ranks fifth in assists per game (26.2) while Atlanta ranks last in assists allowed per game (27.5).
  • Milwaukee averages 49.666666666666664 rebounds per game, which ranks 1 in the league. Atlanta ranks 21 in rebounds allowed per game (45.75675675675676).
  • The Bucks rank second in second chance points allowed per game (10.9) while the Hawks rank 29th (14.9).
  • The Bucks rank 5 in steals allowed per game (7.027777777777778) while the Hawks rank 28 (10.64864864864865).
  • Milwaukee ranks 1 in points allowed in the paint per game (40.05555555555556) while Atlanta ranks 13 (47.83783783783784).
  • Atlanta ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (34.6) while Milwaukee ranks last in three pointers allowed per game (35.5).
  • In games where they allow less than 100 points, Milwaukee is 9-1 and Atlanta is 2-2.
  • When reaching 100 points, the Bucks are 26-7 and the Hawks are 10-19.
  • Atlanta is 11-10 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 13-7 ATS at home.
  • In 21 road games, the Hawks have 11 overs and 10 unders.
  • In 20 home games, the Bucks have 11 overs and 9 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Bucks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Hawks are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Milwaukee has 4 unders and 1 over, while Atlanta has 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push.
  • The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.0, up from 9.3 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 112.2 points per game (3.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 117.4 points per game (0.4 below their season average).