The Orlando Magic (39-40), 8-point favorites, welcome the Atlanta Hawks (29-50) to Amway Center to open Eastern Conference play. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 226 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, April 5, 2019.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Orlando Magic Betting Odds
Both teams covered in their last contest. The Magic (13-point favorites) defeated the New York Knicks 114-100, while the Hawks (4-point underdog) beat the Philadelphia 76ers 130-122. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Orlando game went 1.5 points over the projected point total of 212.5, while the Atlanta game went 12 points over the projected point total of 240.
Atlanta dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a great effective field goal percentage of 0.587 (above their season average of 0.522) and a turnover percentage of 9.5 (better than their season average of 14.2). Philadelphia was 0.510 and 10.2, respectively, for those same stats. The Magic, meanwhile, had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 38.0 (above their season average of 21.6) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.510 vs. 0.482). Orlando rallied around Nikola Vucevic, who recorded 29 points and 13 rebounds. Meanwhile, Trae Young fueled Atlanta with 33 points, 12 assists and seven rebounds.
The Magic have won all three matchups against the Hawks this season. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to put up 192 points, well under the projected point total of 225.5. Orlando won 101-91, covering as a 9-point favorite. One of Orlando’s biggest strengths was getting to the free throw line. They made 33 trips to the line, while Atlanta went just 10 times. Vucevic put up a double-double in the victory with 27 points and 20 rebounds.
Of the Hawks’ 79 games, 45 have gone over the total. Atlanta comes into the game with records of 29-50 straight up (SU) and 41-38 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Atlanta, games involving the Magic have a tendency to go under the O/U total (55.7 percent). Further, Orlando owns records of 39-40 SU and 41-35-3 ATS.
Conflicting paces will be on display in this matchup. Atlanta has preferred a fast-breaking style of play (first in possessions per game), while Orlando has been slower-paced (28th in possessions per game).
Atlanta Hawks vs. Orlando Magic ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Magic rank ninth in fast break points allowed per game (12.7) while the Hawks rank 27th (16.3).
- Orlando ranks second in assists allowed per game (23.1) while Atlanta ranks last (26.9).
- The Magic rank fifth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Hawks rank last (9.9).
- Orlando ranks seventh in three pointers allowed per game (30.1) while Atlanta ranks 28th (34.3).
- Orlando ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while Atlanta ranks 23rd (5.4).
- The Magic rank third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.7) while the Hawks rank 29th (21.2).
- The Hawks rank seventh in points in the paint per game (51.3) while the Magic rank 27th (43.4).
- Orlando averages 45.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. Atlanta ranks 21st in rebounds allowed per game (45.8).
- Orlando ranks second in second chance points allowed per game (11.1) while Atlanta ranks 28th (14.6).
- When holding opponents under 100 points, Orlando is 19-3 and Atlanta is 3-2.
- The Magic are 35-19 when they reach 100 points, while the Hawks are 28-40.
- Orlando is 20-17-1 ATS at home, while Atlanta is 23-16 ATS on the road.
- In 39 road games, the Hawks have 22 overs and 17 unders.
- The Magic have 19 overs and 19 unders in 38 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Hawks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Magic are 3-2.
- In their last five games, Atlanta has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Orlando has 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.4, down from 5.7 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 109.2 points per game (2.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.2 points per game (3.8 above their season average).
