Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls Free Prediction

Daniel GimenezBasketball, NBA

The Miami Heat (6-11) will travel to the United Center to square off against the Chicago Bulls (5-13). The Bulls opened as 2.5-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 214 points and it will air on WGN Channel 9 at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, November 23, 2018.

Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls ATS Odds

In the Bulls’ last matchup, they were victorious over the Phoenix Suns, 124-116, despite being 1.5-point underdogs. The Heat, on the other hand, were defeated by the Brooklyn Nets, 104-92, and were not able to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. The Chicago game finished 22.5 points over the projected point total of 217.5, while the Miami game finished 19.5 points under the projected point total of 215.5.

The Bulls knocked down 21 of their 24 free throws (87.5 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.636 (above their season average of 0.499). Miami, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 31.0 (above their season average of 25.7). Jabari Parker fueled Chicago with 20 points, 13 rebounds and eight assists. Hassan Whiteside led the way for Miami, contributing 21 points and 23 rebounds.

The Heat captured this series last year, winning three out of four contests. In the most recent contest, Miami won 103-92. Miami’s 0.494 effective field goal percentage was its largest strength over Chicago, who had a rate of 0.400. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Heat games have a tendency to finish over the total (64.7 percent). Miami holds records of 6-11 straight up (SU) and 6-11 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Miami, games including the Bulls have typically gone under the O/U total (61.1 percent). Further, Chicago owns records of 5-13 SU and 9-9 ATS.

Looking at effective field goal percentage, Miami should have a noteworthy advantage. The Heat defense ranks seventh in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.508), while the Chicago offense is ranked 21st in effective field goal percentage (0.506).

Heat vs. Bulls Odds Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Miami ranks first in blocks per game (6.6) while Chicago ranks 27th in blocks allowed per game (6.9).
  • The Heat rank second in assists allowed per game (21.2) while the Bulls rank 21st (24.9).
  • Miami averages 32.9 three pointers per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. Chicago ranks 24th in three pointers allowed per game (34.7).
  • Chicago ranks 24 in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.72222222222222) while Miami ranks 26 (19.647058823529413).
  • The Heat rank sixth in second chance points per game (15.0) while the Bulls rank 29th (9.4).
  • The Bulls rank 14 in steals per game (7.666666666666667) while the Heat rank 27 (6.529411764705882).
  • Miami averages 47.9 rebounds per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Chicago ranks 28th in rebounds allowed per game (49.2).
  • When allowing below 100 points, Chicago and Miami are both 2-1.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Heat are 5-8 and the Bulls are 3-8.
  • Miami is 3-4 ATS on the road, while Chicago is 6-4 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 5 of the Heat’s 7 road games, while 7 of the Bulls’ 10 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Miami and Chicago are both 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 102.8 points per game (5.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.4 points per game (0.8 below their season average).
  • The Bulls’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 16.8, up from 9.4 for the season.