Memphis Grizzlies at Brooklyn Nets Betting Prediction

Daniel GimenezBasketball, NBA

The Memphis Grizzlies (12-8), the NBA’s top scoring defense, will square off against the Brooklyn Nets (8-14) at Barclays Center. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, November 30, 2018, and will air on YES Network.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Brooklyn Nets ATS Odds

Both teams failed to cover as underdogs in their last outing. The Grizzlies (5.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Toronto Raptors, 122-114, while the Nets (3.5-point underdogs) fell to the Utah Jazz, 101-91. The Memphis game went 27.5 points over the projected point total of 208.5, while the Brooklyn game finished 23 points under the projected point total of 215.

Memphis had an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.9 (above their season average of 17.1) while Brooklyn did a fantastic job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (20-28; 71.4 percent). Brooklyn’s Rondae Hollis-Jefferson had a good outing, finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds. Meanwhile, Marc Gasol played a key role for Memphis with 27 points.

The Nets dominated this series last year, emerging victorious in both contests. In the most recent contest, Brooklyn won 118-115. Getting to the free throw line was one of Brooklyn’s biggest strengths. They made 40 trips to the line, while Memphis went just 20 times. This is the first time these teams will meet this year.

Of the Grizzlies’ 20 games, 11 have finished under the O/U total. Memphis holds records of 12-8 straight up (SU) and 12-8 against the spread (ATS).

Games including the Nets have no tendency in regards to the projected point total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Moreover, Brooklyn owns records of 8-14 SU and 10-12 ATS.

The Grizzlies’ Gasol has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 23 points,11.8 rebounds,4.0 assists,2.6 blocks,1.4 steals per game. Meanwhile, Spencer Dinwiddie has averaged 19 points,6.8 assists during that same time frame for the Nets.

Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams face off. Brooklyn ranks 22nd in possessions per game (101.7) and Memphis is 30th (98.2). Moreover, the Grizzlies rank third in turnover percentage (12.7 percent), while the Nets rank 23rd in opponents’ turnover percentage (13.2 percent).

Memphis Grizzlies at Brooklyn Nets Odds Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Nets rank 1 in assists allowed per game (21) while the Grizzlies rank 7 (22.8).
  • Brooklyn ranks second in fast break points allowed per game (10.5) while Memphis ranks 28th (16.5).
  • The Grizzlies rank fourth in steals per game (9.0) while the Nets rank 25th (6.7).
  • Brooklyn ranks sixth in three pointers attempted per game (34.2) while Memphis ranks 25th (27.8).
  • Memphis ranks 3 in points allowed in the paint per game (42.6) while Brooklyn ranks 12 (47.81818181818182).
  • The Grizzlies rank third in second chance points allowed per game (11.3) while the Nets rank 28th (16.3).
  • The Nets rank 16 in rebounds per game (44.59090909090909) while the Grizzlies rank 29 (39.25).
  • Memphis averages 5.95 blocks per game, which ranks 8 in the NBA. Brooklyn ranks 11 in blocks allowed per game (4.909090909090909).
  • Memphis ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (19.6) while Brooklyn ranks 26th (14.7).
  • When allowing under 100 points, Brooklyn is 4-0 and Memphis is 6-2.
  • The Nets are 8-12 when they reach the century mark, while the Grizzlies are 9-4.
  • Brooklyn is 3-7 ATS at home, while Memphis is 5-5 ATS on the road.
  • The Grizzlies have 6 unders and 4 overs in 10 road games.
  • The Nets have 6 overs and 4 unders in 10 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Memphis and Brooklyn are both 2-3 ATS.
  • The Grizzlies have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Nets have 3 unders and 2 overs
  • During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 104.2 points per game (0.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 105.6 points per game (3.6 above their season average).
  • The Nets\u2019 average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.2, up from 1.8 for the season.