Los Angeles Clippers vs. Philadelphia 76ers Betting Prediction

Victor TrejosBasketball, NBA

The league’s top shooting defense will be a 4.5-point favorite at home in Wells Fargo Center, when the Philadelphia 76ers (4-4) square off with the Los Angeles Clippers (4-3). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 228.5 points and it begins at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 1, 2018.

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Philadelphia 76ers ATS Odds

Both teams did not cover as underdogs in their last outing. The 76ers (6-point underdogs) were defeated by the Toronto Raptors, 129-112, while the Clippers (3.5-point underdogs) fell to the Oklahoma City Thunder, 128-110. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Philadelphia game finished 13 points over the projected point total of 228, while the Los Angeles game went 9.5 points over the projected point total of 228.5.

Los Angeles did a terrific job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (33-43; 76.7 percent) while Philadelphia had an offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 22.4). Joel Embiid had a solid performance for Philadelphia, recording 31 points and 11 rebounds. Danilo Gallinari played a pivotal role for Los Angeles with 27 points.

The offensive glass could be a major advantage for Philadelphia in this battle. Since last season, the 76ers rank third in offensive rebounding percentage (25.5 percent), while Los Angeles ranks 28th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.0 percent). Furthermore, the Clippers rank second in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.227), while the 76ers rank 28th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.216).

Vegas tends to set the total low when the Clippers are involved, as four of their 7 games have finished over the total. Los Angeles holds records of 4-3 straight up (SU) and 4-3 against the spread (ATS).

76ers games also have a tendency to go over the total (62.5 percent). Additionally, Philadelphia owns records of 4-4 SU and 2-6 ATS.

The 76ers dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the most recent contest, Philadelphia won 112-98. Philadelphia had a better turnover percentage (11.0 vs. 14.0). Los Angeles, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (22.0 vs. 12.5).

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Philadelphia 76ers ATS Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • The 76ers average 16.8 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. The Clippers rank 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.5).
  • Philadelphia ranks sixth in fast break points allowed per game (10.8) while Los Angeles ranks last (15.4).
  • The 76ers rank fourth in second chance points per game (13.9) while the Clippers rank 25th in second chance points allowed per game (13.4).
  • Philadelphia averages 27.0 assists per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 23rd in assists allowed per game (24.3).
  • Philadelphia ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (41.8) while Los Angeles ranks 17th (45.3).
  • The 76ers average 8.1 steals per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Clippers rank 28th in steals allowed per game (8.6).
  • The 76ers rank first in rebounds per game (48.0) while the Clippers rank 18th in rebounds allowed per game (43.8).
  • Philadelphia ranks 11th in three pointers attempted per game (30.3) while Los Angeles ranks 18th in three pointers allowed per game (30.1).
  • Philadelphia averages 5.1 blocks per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Los Angeles ranks 28th in blocks allowed per game (5.7).
  • When allowing less than 100 points, Los Angeles is 14-2 and Philadelphia is 25-0.
  • The Clippers are 44-29 when they score over 100 points, while the 76ers are 58-25.
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